Our pick Home win Correct result
Panathinaikos put top spot on the line against CSKA Sofia
Panathinaikos lead the Conference League table after two matches, five points and 22 places above CSKA Sofia. A third straight win would strengthen their position at the top.
📍 Olympic Stadium of Athens
Preview written:
All League phase, matchday 3 matches
Match report
Final result: Panathinaikos 2-1 CSKA Sofia.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 23–9; Shots on target: 12–5; Corners: 10–4; Expected goals: 2.51–1.06.
Goals
- 41' D. Calabria · V. Taborda · Panathinaikos
- 44' D. Almeida · S. Sensi · CSKA Sofia
- 68' V. Taborda · A. Tetteh · Panathinaikos
Cards
- 45' R. Van Drongelen · Panathinaikos
- 53' I. Louza · Panathinaikos
- 77' E. Camara · Panathinaikos
- 81' S. Andino · Panathinaikos
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Davide Calabria (Panathinaikos) 8.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Panathinaikos · 4-3-3
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2Davide CalabriaD
- 6Stefan de VrijD
- 55Rick Van DrongelenD
- 77Georgios KyriakopoulosD
- 20Vicente TabordaM
- 26Imrân LouzaM
- 42Kings KangwaM
- 99Levi GarcíaF
- 74Elmin RastoderF
- 10Santino AndinoF
CSKA Sofia · 5-4-1
- 21Fedor LapoukhovG
- 2PastorD
- 14Teodor IvanovD
- 5Jean-Philippe GbaminD
- 4Dinis AlmeidaD
- 17Ángelo MartinoD
- 28Ioannis PittasM
- 94Isaac SoletM
- 8Stefano SensiM
- 19Andrey YordanovM
- 9Leandro GodoyF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| CSKA Sofia | 1.5 | 2.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.40 – 0.88
- Double chance
- 1X · 77%12 71% · X2 52%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40%Over 1.5: 67% · Over 3.5: 20%
- Both teams score
- 45%
- Clean sheet
- 41% – 25%Panathinaikos–CSKA Sofia
- Half-time result
- X · 46%1 35% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 29%X/X 19% · X/1 17%
- Expected corners
- 9.15.7 – 3.4 · Over 9.5: 42%
- Expected cards
- 5.12.2 – 2.9 · Over 3.5: 72%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A five-point gap at the top
Panathinaikos are first of 36 in the UEFA Europa Conference League with six points after two matches, while CSKA Sofia are 23rd with one. The five-point gap makes this a significant test for the leaders: victory would extend their advantage over a side currently outside the top places, while CSKA need a result to close ground in the qualification race.
Panathinaikos also arrive on a three-match winning run and are unbeaten in eight. Their place at the summit is secure for now, but a strong result in Athens would reinforce their early lead in the league stage.
Panathinaikos bring the stronger run
Panathinaikos have won four and drawn one of their last five matches in this competition, scoring 13 goals and conceding six. They have won their most recent Conference League match and have three victories in a row.
CSKA Sofia’s two matches in this competition have brought a defeat and a draw, with three goals scored and four conceded. Their latest result was a draw. These competition-only records point to contrasting momentum, although CSKA did score twice in their away match, which ended level.
Home resilience, but no clean sheets
Across eight Conference League matches, Panathinaikos have five wins and three draws, scoring 18 and conceding 10. At home in the competition, they have one win and three draws from four matches, with seven goals scored and six conceded. They have yet to keep a clean sheet in those eight games.
CSKA’s two-match competition record includes one draw and one defeat. Their sole away match ended in a draw, with both sides scoring twice. The visitors have also not kept a clean sheet in the competition.
A chance to turn pressure into control
Panathinaikos’ recent scoring record gives them a clear platform, and their eight-match unbeaten streak suggests they can manage the occasion. CSKA have shown they can find the net away, but conceding four across their first two competition matches leaves them with defensive work to do against the league leaders.
Our prediction
Panathinaikos’ stronger recent form and home advantage make them favourites to take another step forward at the top. CSKA’s away draw suggests they can make the contest competitive, but the hosts look more likely to create the decisive opportunities.
Panathinaikos 1-0 CSKA Sofia

