UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3
Panathinaikos
2–1 Full time
CSKA Sofia

Our pick Home win Correct result

Panathinaikos put top spot on the line against CSKA Sofia

Panathinaikos lead the Conference League table after two matches, five points and 22 places above CSKA Sofia. A third straight win would strengthen their position at the top.

📍 Olympic Stadium of Athens

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Match report

Final result: Panathinaikos 2-1 CSKA Sofia.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 23–9; Shots on target: 12–5; Corners: 10–4; Expected goals: 2.51–1.06.

Goals

  • 41' D. Calabria · V. Taborda · Panathinaikos
  • 44' D. Almeida · S. Sensi · CSKA Sofia
  • 68' V. Taborda · A. Tetteh · Panathinaikos

Cards

  • 45' R. Van Drongelen · Panathinaikos
  • 53' I. Louza · Panathinaikos
  • 77' E. Camara · Panathinaikos
  • 81' S. Andino · Panathinaikos

Match stats

PanathinaikosCSKA Sofia
62%Possession38%
23Shots9
12Shots on target5
2.51Expected goals (xG)1.06
10Corners4
11Fouls14
2Offsides2
4Saves10

⭐ Top-rated player: Davide Calabria (Panathinaikos) 8.9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Panathinaikos · 4-3-3

  1. 1Iñaki PeñaG
  2. 2Davide CalabriaD
  3. 6Stefan de VrijD
  4. 55Rick Van DrongelenD
  5. 77Georgios KyriakopoulosD
  6. 20Vicente TabordaM
  7. 26Imrân LouzaM
  8. 42Kings KangwaM
  9. 99Levi GarcíaF
  10. 74Elmin RastoderF
  11. 10Santino AndinoF

CSKA Sofia · 5-4-1

  1. 21Fedor LapoukhovG
  2. 2PastorD
  3. 14Teodor IvanovD
  4. 5Jean-Philippe GbaminD
  5. 4Dinis AlmeidaD
  6. 17Ángelo MartinoD
  7. 28Ioannis PittasM
  8. 94Isaac SoletM
  9. 8Stefano SensiM
  10. 19Andrey YordanovM
  11. 9Leandro GodoyF

Match facts

Recent form

Panathinaikos WDWWW
CSKA Sofia LD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Panathinaikos2.31.3
CSKA Sofia1.52.0

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
1Panathinaikos2 +56
23CSKA Sofia2 -11

PreviaXI model

Panathinaikos48% Draw29% CSKA Sofia23%

Model confidence: Medium

Expected goals (model)
1.40 – 0.88
Double chance
1X · 77%12 71% · X2 52%
Over 2.5 goals
40%Over 1.5: 67% · Over 3.5: 20%
Both teams score
45%
Clean sheet
41% – 25%Panathinaikos–CSKA Sofia
Half-time result
X · 46%1 35% · 2 19%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 29%X/X 19% · X/1 17%
Expected corners
9.15.7 – 3.4 · Over 9.5: 42%
Expected cards
5.12.2 – 2.9 · Over 3.5: 72%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A five-point gap at the top

Panathinaikos are first of 36 in the UEFA Europa Conference League with six points after two matches, while CSKA Sofia are 23rd with one. The five-point gap makes this a significant test for the leaders: victory would extend their advantage over a side currently outside the top places, while CSKA need a result to close ground in the qualification race.

Panathinaikos also arrive on a three-match winning run and are unbeaten in eight. Their place at the summit is secure for now, but a strong result in Athens would reinforce their early lead in the league stage.

Panathinaikos bring the stronger run

Panathinaikos have won four and drawn one of their last five matches in this competition, scoring 13 goals and conceding six. They have won their most recent Conference League match and have three victories in a row.

CSKA Sofia’s two matches in this competition have brought a defeat and a draw, with three goals scored and four conceded. Their latest result was a draw. These competition-only records point to contrasting momentum, although CSKA did score twice in their away match, which ended level.

Home resilience, but no clean sheets

Across eight Conference League matches, Panathinaikos have five wins and three draws, scoring 18 and conceding 10. At home in the competition, they have one win and three draws from four matches, with seven goals scored and six conceded. They have yet to keep a clean sheet in those eight games.

CSKA’s two-match competition record includes one draw and one defeat. Their sole away match ended in a draw, with both sides scoring twice. The visitors have also not kept a clean sheet in the competition.

A chance to turn pressure into control

Panathinaikos’ recent scoring record gives them a clear platform, and their eight-match unbeaten streak suggests they can manage the occasion. CSKA have shown they can find the net away, but conceding four across their first two competition matches leaves them with defensive work to do against the league leaders.

Our prediction

Panathinaikos’ stronger recent form and home advantage make them favourites to take another step forward at the top. CSKA’s away draw suggests they can make the contest competitive, but the hosts look more likely to create the decisive opportunities.

Panathinaikos 1-0 CSKA Sofia

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