FA Cup · 1/128-finals 
Our pick Home win Missed
Oxford City Aim to Turn FA Cup Momentum into Leicester Upset
Oxford City arrive on a three-match FA Cup winning run, while Leicester begin their cup campaign in Oxford. Progress would offer the National League North side a notable step forward and Leicester a chance to keep their knockout ambitions alive.
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Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Oxford City 2-4 Leicester.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 11–16; Shots on target: 5–9; Corners: 3–8.
Goals
- 16' Louis Page · Bobby Reid · Leicester
- 31' Scott Pollock · Oxford City
- 53' Emil Riis Jakobsen · Harry Howell · Leicester
- 59' K. Doyle · Louis Page · Leicester
- 62' Joshua James Ashby · Z. McEachran · Oxford City
- 82' Tom Watson · Louis Page · Leicester
Cards
- 25' Luke Thomas · Leicester
- 68' Bobby Reid · Leicester
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Oxford City · 4-2-3-1
- 1J. MaxtedG
- 22D. NelsonD
- 5Ludwig FrancilletteD
- 3Evan humphriesD
- 28A. CrowtherD
- 4Joshua James AshbyM
- 8D. TetekM
- 10Z. McEachranM
- 7S. PollockM
- 9T. MarshM
- 11E. BrownF
Coach: R. Jenkins
Leicester · 3-4-2-1
- 21F. RavizzoliG
- 16W. O'HoraD
- 24I. KangasniemiD
- 5C. OkoliD
- 33L. ThomasM
- 25L. PageM
- 6J. LundstramM
- 14B. De Cordova-ReidM
- 36S. BraybrookeM
- 27K. DoyleM
- 17E. RiisF
Coach: Russell Martin
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford City | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| Leicester | 0.0 | 0.0 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.55 – 1.15
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 72% · X2 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%Over 1.5: 76% · Over 3.5: 29%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 32% – 21%Oxford City–Leicester
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 35% · 2 23%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 28%X/1 16% · X/X 16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A chance to make a statement
Leicester travel to Oxford with their FA Cup campaign yet to begin, while Oxford City have already won three matches in the competition. A place in the next round would be a significant reward for the National League North side, currently second in their league, and a chance to extend a cup run that has already delivered nine goals.
For Leicester, progression would mean avoiding an early exit and continuing their own knockout journey. They are 10th in League One, so this tie pits Oxford City’s higher position in the National League North against a side from the division above. The contrast makes the stakes clear: Oxford can turn their cup momentum into a major scalp, while Leicester must make their league-level advantage count.
Different league rhythms
Oxford City’s last five league matches brought two wins, two draws and a defeat, with the most recent ending in defeat. Leicester have taken three wins and a draw from their last five league outings, alongside one loss; their latest match finished level.
Oxford’s stronger recent cup story may help them approach the tie with confidence. Across three FA Cup matches, they have scored nine goals and conceded once, keeping two clean sheets. At home in the competition, they won their one match, scoring six and conceding one.
Oxford’s cup run sets the challenge
Oxford City’s three FA Cup victories in this competition have built a clear platform for the tie. Their most recent cup match was a win, and they have scored nine goals while conceding just once across those three matches. Leicester, by contrast, are entering the competition here, so Oxford have the sharper cup rhythm.
The home side’s task is to make that momentum count against a League One opponent. Leicester will look to impose the quality suggested by their place in a higher division, but Oxford’s scoring record in this cup makes them more than a straightforward obstacle.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model leans towards Oxford City, with the home side’s strong cup results and home advantage pointing to a narrow edge. Leicester’s league position keeps this finely balanced, but Oxford’s ability to score freely in the competition could prove decisive.
Oxford City 1-0 Leicester
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