Netherlands 7–0 Greece

A tight race at the top

Netherlands arrive unbeaten in four UEFA Nations League matches, with two wins and two draws. Their home record in the competition is a win and a draw from two matches. Greece have also avoided defeat in all four games, and the teams are level on eight points after four matches, with Netherlands one place higher on goal difference or other tie-breakers.

That leaves little room between them in League A - Group B. The Johan Cruijff Arena meeting offers both sides a chance to strengthen their position, but the recent head-to-head record gives Netherlands a reason for confidence.

Unbeaten, but with different rhythms

Netherlands’ four Nations League results have alternated between a draw and a win, and they come into this match after a victory. They have scored seven and conceded five across those four games, without keeping a clean sheet.

Greece’s run has taken a different shape: two wins followed by two draws, including a draw in their most recent match. They have scored five and conceded three, keeping two clean sheets. Away from home in this competition, Greece have won both of their matches, scoring three goals and conceding one.

Netherlands have had the upper hand

Netherlands are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Greece, winning twice and drawing once. The most recent encounter, in October 2026 in the Nations League, finished 2-2 in Greece.

Before that, Netherlands won both Euro qualifying meetings in 2023, including a 1-0 away victory and a 3-0 home win. The latest draw shows Greece can make the matchup competitive, but Netherlands have still avoided defeat in each of the three meetings.

Two solid group campaigns

Both teams have two wins and two draws in the competition. Netherlands’ seven goals make them the more productive side so far, while Greece have conceded fewer and kept two clean sheets. Those contrasting strengths, along with Greece’s perfect away record in the Nations League, make this a close test for the Dutch.

Our prediction

Netherlands’ unbeaten head-to-head record and home advantage give them a slight edge, but Greece’s strong away results and defensive record make a draw a credible possibility. The match looks finely poised, with Netherlands more likely to avoid defeat than to pull clear.