Serie A · Matchday 34 
Vitoria vs Fluminense: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Vitoria 33%, the draw 30% and Fluminense 37%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Vitoria33%Draw30%Fluminense37%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.09 – 1.16
- Double chance
- 12 · 70%1X 63% · X2 67%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39%Over 1.5: 67% · Over 3.5: 19%
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Clean sheet
- 31% – 33%Vitoria–Fluminense
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 26% · 2 27%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 21%X/X 20% · 1/1 19%
- Expected corners
- 8.84.6 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 39%
- Expected cards
- 5.32.7 – 2.6 · Over 3.5: 78%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 0-111%
- 0-011%
- 1-011%
- 1-28%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Vitoria -0.25 goals per game (17th of 20 in Serie A), Fluminense +0.26 (4th).
- Vitoria's attack (1.09 goals per game) meets Fluminense's defence (1.09 conceded per game).
- Fluminense's attack (1.35) meets Vitoria's defence (1.34).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 43% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.09 – 1.16 goals: Vitoria 33%, draw 30%, Fluminense 37%.
Match facts
Last matches · Vitoria
- L Sat 31 Oct A Coritiba 0-2
- D Sat 24 Oct H Atletico Paranaense 1-1
- D Mon 19 Oct A Corinthians 1-1
- L Sun 11 Oct A Sao Paulo 1-2
- W Wed 7 Oct H Chapecoense-sc 4-0
- L Sun 20 Sept H Cruzeiro 1-3
Last matches · Fluminense
- W Wed 28 Oct H Internacional 2-1
- L Sat 24 Oct A Chapecoense-sc 1-2
- L Sun 18 Oct H Santos 1-2
- L Sun 11 Oct A Flamengo 0-1
- W Fri 9 Oct H Coritiba 4-0
- W Sun 20 Sept A Corinthians 3-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Vitoria | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Vitoria (H) | Fluminense (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 20% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/20 | Vitoria | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 4/20 | Fluminense | 33 | +10 | 54 |
Last meetings
- 2026Fluminense 2-2 Vitoria
- 2025Vitoria 0-1 Fluminense
- 2025Fluminense 1-1 Vitoria
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.