Serie A · Matchday 35 
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Thursday 19 November. The PreviaXI model gives Cruzeiro 39%, the draw 29% and Palmeiras 32%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
All Matchday 35 matches Full head-to-head
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Low
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.27 – 1.15
- Double chance
- Either team wins71%Home win or draw 68% · Draw or away win 61%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 70% · Over 3.5: 22%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 32% – 28%Cruzeiro–Palmeiras
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 29% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 22%X/X 19% · 2/2 19%
- Expected corners
- 10.96.0 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 58%
- Expected cards
- 5.42.9 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 72%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Key trends
- Cruzeiro have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last 11 matches.
- Cruzeiro have won their last 6 home matches.
- Cruzeiro have won their last 4 matches.
- Cruzeiro are unbeaten in their last 6 home matches.
- 6 of Palmeiras’s last 8 matches had under 2.5 goals.
Chance to score
Cruzeiro
- Kaio Jorge17 goals in 40 games 28%
- Matheus Pereira14 goals in 53 games 19%
- Christian6 goals in 24 games 17%
Palmeiras
- J. López24 goals in 61 games 23%
- Maurício15 goals in 53 games 17%
- R. Sosa10 goals in 45 games 13%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | Cruzeiro | Palmeiras | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 18-6-10 | 10-4-3 | 21-10-3 | 8-7-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.62 | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.53 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.41 | 1.06 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| xG per game | 1.51 | 1.63 | 1.41 | 1.04 |
| xG against per game | 1.24 | 0.83 | 0.97 | 1.10 |
| Scored in | 88% | 88% | 85% | 76% |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 47% | 53% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 12% | 15% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 68% | 65% | 53% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 82% | 68% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 59% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 29% | 26% | 29% |
| Shots per game | 15.2 | 16.4 | 15.6 | 13.3 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.1 |
| Shots on target | 36% | 32% | 34% | 38% |
| Possession | 55% | 56% | 52% | 51% |
| Passes per game | 451.3 | 459.5 | 445.3 | 428.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 85% | 84% |
| Corners per game | 5.3 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.3 |
| Corners against per game | 4.9 | 3.4 | 5.5 | 6.9 |
| Cards per game | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 3.0 |
| Fouls per game | 14.0 | 13.4 | 13.4 | 14.8 |
League matches this season (Serie A). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Cruzeiro
- 0-15 6 / 7
- 16-30 7 / 8
- 31-45 10 / 11
- 46-60 8 / 7
- 61-75 10 / 2
- 76-90+ 15 / 12
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Palmeiras
- 0-15 12 / 2
- 16-30 11 / 1
- 31-45 9 / 7
- 46-60 9 / 7
- 61-75 9 / 3
- 76-90+ 9 / 7
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 35 | +4 | 51 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Vasco DA Gama | 34 | -5 | 44 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 13 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 35 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 34 | -37 | 21 |
Table as of
Next matches
Cruzeiro
- Sun 22 Nov Chapecoense-sc – CruzeiroSerie A
- Sat 28 Nov Fluminense – CruzeiroSerie A
- Thu 3 Dec Cruzeiro – InternacionalSerie A
Palmeiras
- Sat 21 Nov Palmeiras – FlamengoSerie A
- Wed 25 Nov Chapecoense-sc – PalmeirasSerie A
- Thu 3 Dec Palmeiras – CoritibaSerie A
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Cruzeiro 1 wins · 3 draws · Palmeiras 6 wins
- 17/05/2026 Palmeiras 1-1 CruzeiroSerie A
- 26/10/2025 Palmeiras 0-0 CruzeiroSerie A
- 01/06/2025 Cruzeiro 2-1 PalmeirasSerie A
- 05/12/2024 Cruzeiro 1-2 PalmeirasSerie A
- 21/07/2024 Palmeiras 2-0 CruzeiroSerie A
- 07/12/2023 Cruzeiro 1-1 PalmeirasSerie A
- 14/08/2023 Palmeiras 1-0 CruzeiroSerie A
- 08/12/2019 Cruzeiro 0-2 PalmeirasSerie A
- 14/09/2019 Palmeiras 1-0 CruzeiroSerie A
- 30/09/2018 Palmeiras 3-1 CruzeiroSerie A
Match facts
Last matches · Cruzeiro
- W Fri 6 Nov H Bahia 3-2
- W Thu 29 Oct A Atletico-MG 1-0
- W Fri 23 Oct H Remo 1-0
- W Sun 18 Oct A Gremio 4-2
- L Tue 13 Oct A RB Bragantino 2-4
- W Thu 8 Oct H Sao Paulo 2-0
Last matches · Palmeiras
- W Thu 5 Nov H Remo 6-1
- D Wed 28 Oct A Santos 0-0
- W Sat 24 Oct H RB Bragantino 2-0
- W Sat 17 Oct A Atletico Paranaense 2-0
- W Sun 11 Oct H Corinthians 4-1
- W Fri 9 Oct H Bahia 1-0
Recent record
| · | Cruzeiro | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 20% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 70% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Cruzeiro (H) | Palmeiras (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.