Serie A · Matchday 35 
Coritiba vs Santos: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Thursday 19 November. The PreviaXI model gives Coritiba 37%, the draw 27% and Santos 36%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
All Matchday 35 matches Full head-to-head
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Low
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.34 – 1.33
- Double chance
- Either team wins73%Home win or draw 64% · Draw or away win 63%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 27% – 26%Coritiba–Santos
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 29% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 21%2/2 21% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 10.84.9 – 5.9 · Over 9.5: 58%
- Expected cards
- 4.92.1 – 2.8 · Over 3.5: 68%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Key trends
- 7 of Santos’s last 8 away matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Santos’s last 8 matches.
- 6 of Santos’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- At least one side failed to score in 6 of Coritiba’s last 8 matches.
- Coritiba failed to score in 5 of their last 8 matches.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Santos’s last 8 away matches.
Chance to score
Coritiba
- Pedro Rocha9 goals in 35 games 25%
- Breno Lopes8 goals in 32 games 24%
- Rodrigo Moledo3 goals in 10 games 22%
Santos
- Gabriel Barbosa25 goals in 49 games 37%
- Neymar10 goals in 27 games 27%
- Philippe Coutinho2 goals in 7 games 15%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | Coritiba | Santos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 11-9-14 | 6-5-6 | 12-11-11 | 6-4-7 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.18 | 1.29 | 1.47 | 1.59 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.50 | 1.24 | 1.44 | 1.65 |
| xG per game | 1.07 | 1.10 | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| xG against per game | 1.47 | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.53 |
| Scored in | 65% | 76% | 88% | 94% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 18% | 21% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 35% | 24% | 12% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 59% | 74% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 71% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 41% | 65% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 24% | 29% | 35% |
| Shots per game | 11.4 | 13.7 | 13.9 | 13.0 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.4 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Shots on target | 30% | 30% | 31% | 32% |
| Possession | 41% | 43% | 50% | 47% |
| Passes per game | 329.5 | 334.7 | 434.6 | 430.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | – | 82% | 81% |
| Corners per game | 3.9 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 4.1 |
| Corners against per game | 7.1 | 6.6 | 5.3 | 6.5 |
| Cards per game | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Fouls per game | 11.3 | 12.1 | 12.7 | 11.9 |
League matches this season (Serie A). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Coritiba
- 0-15 2 / 4
- 16-30 4 / 9
- 31-45 9 / 5
- 46-60 8 / 8
- 61-75 8 / 13
- 76-90+ 7 / 14
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Santos
- 0-15 3 / 4
- 16-30 8 / 6
- 31-45 12 / 10
- 46-60 11 / 4
- 61-75 6 / 8
- 76-90+ 13 / 14
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 35 | +4 | 51 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Vasco DA Gama | 34 | -5 | 44 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 13 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 35 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 34 | -37 | 21 |
Table as of
Next matches
Coritiba
- Sat 21 Nov Bahia – CoritibaSerie A
- Sun 29 Nov Coritiba – FlamengoSerie A
- Thu 3 Dec Palmeiras – CoritibaSerie A
Santos
- Tue 24 Nov Santos – GremioSerie A
- Sun 29 Nov Vitoria – SantosSerie A
- Thu 3 Dec Santos – BotafogoSerie A
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Coritiba 2 wins · 2 draws · Santos 6 wins
- 17/05/2026 Santos 0-3 CoritibaSerie A
- 13/05/2026 Coritiba 0-2 SantosCopa Do Brasil
- 22/04/2026 Santos 0-0 CoritibaCopa Do Brasil
- 12/11/2024 Coritiba 0-2 SantosSerie B
- 22/07/2024 Santos 4-0 CoritibaSerie B
- 27/10/2023 Santos 2-1 CoritibaSerie A
- 10/06/2023 Coritiba 0-0 SantosSerie A
- 08/08/2022 Coritiba 1-2 SantosSerie A
- 13/05/2022 Santos 3-0 CoritibaCopa Do Brasil
- 20/04/2022 Coritiba 1-0 SantosCopa Do Brasil
Match facts
Last matches · Coritiba
- L Wed 4 Nov A Internacional 0-1
- W Sat 31 Oct H Vitoria 2-0
- L Mon 26 Oct H Gremio 0-1
- L Sat 17 Oct A Atletico-MG 0-1
- D Mon 12 Oct H Botafogo 1-1
- L Fri 9 Oct A Fluminense 0-4
Last matches · Santos
- L Mon 2 Nov A RB Bragantino 1-2
- D Wed 28 Oct H Palmeiras 0-0
- D Sun 25 Oct H Bahia 1-1
- W Sun 18 Oct A Fluminense 2-1
- L Sun 11 Oct A Atletico-MG 1-2
- D Thu 8 Oct H Flamengo 2-2
Recent record
| · | Coritiba | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Coritiba (H) | Santos (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 90% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.