Egypt’s unbeaten run gives them the edge against Malawi

Group stakes

Malawi have lost their last two matches, while Egypt are unbeaten in three Africa Cup of Nations qualifying games and have won their last two. Egypt lead Group B with seven points after three matches; Malawi are third on three, four points behind. The gap gives Egypt a clear standings advantage, while Malawi have ground to make up.

Egypt’s scoring against Malawi’s defence

In this competition, Egypt have scored 10 goals and conceded none in three matches. Malawi have scored three and conceded nine in their three matches. The comparison points to a difficult defensive test for Malawi, although their one home match in the competition was a win, with two goals scored and one conceded.

Egypt have also won their one away match in the competition, scoring five and keeping a clean sheet. A pattern to watch is whether Malawi can keep Egypt from scoring early: Egypt have scored five goals in that away fixture, while Malawi’s home sample is just one match.

Egypt’s recent head-to-head edge

Egypt have won all three of the teams’ recent meetings, with no Malawi wins or draws. The latest was a 5-0 Egypt victory in this qualifying competition on 13 November 2026; Egypt also won the two meetings in March 2023.

Our prediction

Egypt have the stronger recent record in this competition and have yet to concede, while Malawi’s two-match losing run and nine goals conceded in three qualifying games make the visitors the more convincing side on the available evidence. Malawi’s home win offers a reason for caution, but Egypt look better placed to extend their unbeaten run; a draw remains a plausible alternative.