Gabon’s unbeaten run against Lesotho faces a fresh test

Group positions raise the stakes

Gabon have won two and drawn one of their last three meetings with Lesotho, and their latest encounter ended in a 2-0 victory on 13 November. They meet again in Africa Cup of Nations qualification, with Gabon second in Group A on six points and Lesotho fourth on zero after three matches apiece. Gabon are six points ahead, while Lesotho are on a three-game losing run.

Lesotho’s home scoring against Gabon’s defence

In this competition, Lesotho have scored two goals and conceded three across two home matches, while Gabon have conceded two and scored none in their one away match. Those small samples suggest Lesotho have found the net at home, but Gabon’s away record also shows they have yet to score on the road in this group. Lesotho’s home matches have produced no clean sheets; a useful pattern to watch is whether they can turn their home scoring into a result while keeping Gabon quiet.

Three meetings without a Lesotho win

Gabon are unbeaten in the last three meetings, with two wins and a draw; Lesotho have not won any of them. The most recent was Gabon’s 2-0 win on 13 November, while two of those three encounters finished with two goals or fewer.

Our prediction

Gabon’s head-to-head edge and higher place in Group A give them the stronger case, although their only away match in this qualification campaign ended in defeat. Lesotho’s home scoring offers a route to a closer contest, so a Gabon win is possible but a draw remains a credible alternative.