UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Lillestrom
0–1 Full time
Plzen

Our pick Away win Correct result

Plzen under pressure after three straight Europa League defeats

Plzen arrive in Lillestrom on a three-match losing run and bottom of the Europa League table, while Lillestrom are two places and one point above them. Both sides need a response after losing their latest European match.

📍 Åråsen Stadion

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Match report

Final result: Lillestrom 0-1 Plzen.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 14–17; Shots on target: 4–11; Corners: 3–6; Expected goals: 0.57–1.72.

Goals

  • 10' Prince Kwabena Adu · Patrik Hrošovský · Plzen

Cards

  • 24' Lars Ranger · Lillestrom
  • 32' Sampson Dweh · Plzen
  • 65' Patrik Hrošovský · Plzen
  • 76' Filip Prebsl · Plzen
  • 84' Radoslav Kovac · Plzen
  • 85' Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim · Lillestrom
  • 90' Florian Wiegele · Plzen

Match stats

LillestromPlzen
64%Possession36%
14Shots17
4Shots on target11
0.57Expected goals (xG)1.72
3Corners6
7Fouls10
3Offsides1
9Saves4

⭐ Top-rated player: P. Dahlberg (Lillestrom) 8.4

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Lillestrom · 4-3-3

  1. 12P. DahlbergG
  2. 2L. RangerD
  3. 28R. GabrielsenD
  4. 47S. KristiansenD
  5. 26Y. PaintsilD
  6. 14G. NyheimM
  7. 21F. OttossonM
  8. 29Y. IbrahimajM
  9. 20VáF
  10. 8F. GulbrandsenF
  11. 17E. KitolanoF

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Plzen · 3-4-1-2

  1. 44F. WiegeleG
  2. 2T. PališčákD
  3. 40S. DwehD
  4. 98F. PrebslD
  5. 29A. GabrielM
  6. 17P. HrošovskýM
  7. 6L. ČervM
  8. 14Merchas DoskiM
  9. 12A. SojkaM
  10. 80P. AduF
  11. 99A. MemićF

Coach: R. Kováč

Match facts

Recent form

Lillestrom DWLDL
Plzen LWLLL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Lillestrom0.82.0
Plzen1.42.2

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
31Lillestrom3 -71
33Plzen3 -50

Absences

Lillestrom

  • Out E. B. Garnas · Knee Injury
  • Out C. Jebara · Groin Injury

Plzen

  • Out V. Jemelka · Knee Injury
  • Out M. Tvrdon · Off the roster

PreviaXI model

Lillestrom35% Draw27% Plzen38%

Model confidence: Open game

Expected goals (model)
1.35 – 1.43
Double chance
12 · 73%1X 62% · X2 65%
Over 2.5 goals
53%Over 1.5: 77% · Over 3.5: 30%
Both teams score
57%
Clean sheet
24% – 26%Lillestrom–Plzen
Half-time result
X · 41%1 28% · 2 31%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 23%1/1 20% · X/X 16%
Expected corners
9.34.8 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 45%
Expected cards
4.62.3 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 66%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Bottom two, with Plzen under pressure

After three matches in the Europa League league stage, Lillestrom sit 31st of 36 with one point, while Plzen are 33rd on zero. The gap is only one point, but the pressure is firmly on Plzen: they have lost their last three matches in the competition and now face a direct opportunity to close it.

Lillestrom also need a result. They are without a win in three and lost their most recent Europa League match, but remain two places and one point ahead. With both sides coming off defeats, the contest offers a chance to halt a slide as well as improve their position.

Recent European form

Across their five Europa League matches in this competition, Lillestrom have recorded a win, two draws and two defeats, scoring four goals and conceding 10. Their home record in the competition is less convincing: one win and two defeats from three matches, with nine goals conceded and no clean sheets.

Plzen’s five-match European record is harsher: one win and four defeats, with seven goals scored and 11 conceded. Their current run is three defeats in a row, including their latest match. Away from home in this competition, they have lost both of their two matches, scoring once and conceding five.

The recent numbers suggest vulnerability at both ends, but the immediate concern is Plzen’s inability to stop the run of defeats. Lillestrom have also struggled defensively, especially at home, so the visitors may see a route to a much-needed result.

Team news

Lillestrom are without E. B. Garnas because of a knee injury and C. Jebara with a groin injury. Plzen are missing V. Jemelka through a knee injury, while M. Tvrdon is off the roster.

Our prediction

Plzen’s losing streak makes this a test of nerve, yet their five Europa League matches have produced more goals than Lillestrom’s. With both sides conceding regularly, the visitors have a narrow edge in a game that could offer chances at both ends.

Lillestrom 1-2 Plzen

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