Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia separated by one point in Europa League
Levski Sofia are ten places and one point above Jagiellonia after three league-stage matches. Both need a response after their latest European results went in opposite directions.
📍 Vasil Levski National Stadium
Preview written:
All League phase, matchday 4 matches
Match report
Final result: Levski Sofia 1-0 Jagiellonia.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 13–10; Shots on target: 5–2; Corners: 4–5; Expected goals: 0.77–1.05.
Goals
- 83' Steven Stoyanchov · David Kusso · Levski Sofia
Cards
- 54' Guilherme Montóia · Jagiellonia
- 72' Francisco Everton Mota de Castro · Levski Sofia
- 78' Taras Romanczuk · Jagiellonia
- 84' Steven Stoyanchov · Levski Sofia
- 86' Jesús Imaz · Jagiellonia
- 90+2' David Kusso · Levski Sofia
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: S. Stoyanchov (Levski Sofia) 7.7
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Levski Sofia · 4-3-3
- 92S. VutsovG
- 21AldairD
- 50K. DimitrovD
- 4C. MakounD
- 19E. El MoubarikM
- 8M. GrujićM
- 35SerginhoM
- 22M. SoulaM
- 3MaiconF
- 7ReinaldoF
- 17Everton BalaF
Coach: Julio Velázquez
Jagiellonia · 4-3-3
- 50S. AbramowiczG
- 27Rodrigo ConceiçãoD
- 3D. StojinovićD
- 44A. KonstantopoulosD
- 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão MontóiaD
- 11Jesús ImazM
- 6T. RomanczukM
- 19A. KlyngeM
- 7K. SzmytM
- 10J. AgbonifoF
- 99N. PrelecF
Coach: A. Siemieniec
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Jagiellonia | 1.9 | 1.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Absences
Levski Sofia
- Out P. Hristov · Off the roster
- Out O. Kamdem · Off the roster
- Out R. Kirilov · Knee Injury
- Out A. Mitkov · Injury
- Out M. Sangare · Off the roster
Jagiellonia
- Out D. Drachal · Off the roster
- Out C. Polak · Off the roster
- Out N. Wojtuszek · Inactive
- Out Z. Zalewski · Off the roster
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.60 – 0.81
- Double chance
- 1X · 82%12 74% · X2 44%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%Over 1.5: 70% · Over 3.5: 22%
- Both teams score
- 45%
- Clean sheet
- 45% – 20%Levski Sofia–Jagiellonia
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 40% · 2 16%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 34%X/1 19% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 8.05.2 – 2.8 · Over 9.5: 29%
- Expected cards
- 4.41.9 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 62%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
One point between them
Levski Sofia’s most recent Europa League match brought a win; Jagiellonia’s ended in defeat. That contrast frames a meeting between teams close together in the league-stage standings, with a single point separating them after three matches.
Levski are 17th of 36 with four points and a goal difference of zero. Jagiellonia are 27th with three points and a goal difference of minus two. The gap is narrow, but a home victory would give Levski a chance to strengthen their position, while Jagiellonia would move two points above Levski with a win.
Results point in different directions
Levski’s three Europa League results have progressed from defeat to draw to win. Across those matches, they have scored three goals and conceded three. Their only home match in this competition ended in a 1-0 defeat, so this is an opportunity to improve on that opening home result.
Jagiellonia’s run in the competition has been more varied: a win and a draw, followed by two wins, a defeat, another win and then a defeat. Across their seven Europa League matches, they have scored 13 and conceded nine. Away from home in this competition, they have one win, one draw and one defeat, with four goals scored and four conceded.
Their recent scoring figures suggest Jagiellonia can threaten: they scored 10 goals across their last five Europa League matches, though they also conceded seven. Levski’s last three in the competition produced three goals for and three against.
Absences on both sides
Levski are without P. Hristov, O. Kamdem and M. Sangare, all off the roster, while R. Kirilov is out with a knee injury and A. Mitkov is unavailable through injury.
Jagiellonia’s absences include D. Drachal, C. Polak and Z. Zalewski, who are off the roster, as well as inactive N. Wojtuszek.
Our prediction
The standings make this a valuable chance for Levski to widen the gap, and their latest European result offers a boost. Jagiellonia have shown greater scoring output across their Europa League campaign, but their latest defeat and a mixed away record leave room for Levski to take control.
PreviaXI’s model favours the hosts, pointing to Levski’s stronger outlook in a match that may be decided by a narrow margin.

