Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 
Our pick Home win Missed
Marseille’s winning run faces a tough Lens test
Marseille arrive with four consecutive wins, but their trip to Lens brings a stern challenge. The hosts have won three of their last five league matches and have been strong at home.
📍 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Preview written:
All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Lens 1-2 Marseille.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 13–16; Shots on target: 6–5; Corners: 4–6; Expected goals: 2–2.22.
Goals
- 2' Amine Gouiri · Marseille
- 20' Florian Thauvin · Florian Sotoca · Lens
- 82' Keyliane Abdallah · Marseille
Cards
- 79' Yassine Titraoui · Lens
- 81' Amine Gouiri · Marseille
- 90+2' Jeffrey De Lange · Marseille
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: A. Gouiri (Marseille) 7.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Lens · 3-4-2-1
- 40R. RisserG
- 24J. GraditD
- 6S. BaidooD
- 20J. TodiboD
- 23Saud AbdulhamidM
- 8Y. TitraouiM
- 21A. HaidaraM
- 14M. UdolM
- 10F. ThauvinM
- 7F. SotocaM
- 9T. HazardF
Coach: Yannick Cahuzac
Marseille · 4-2-3-1
- 1J. de LangeG
- 22T. WeahD
- 4C. Egan-RileyD
- 21N. AguerdD
- 25U. GarciaD
- 6T. NnadiM
- 23P. HøjbjergM
- 77A. HaritM
- 8H. AbdelliM
- 14Igor PaixãoM
- 9A. GouiriF
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Lens | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Marseille | 2.2 | 1.4 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | +3 | 13 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Marseille 3-1 Lens
- 2025 Lens 2-1 Marseille
- 2025 Marseille 0-1 Lens
- 2024 Lens 1-3 Marseille
- 2024 Marseille 2-1 Lens
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.28 – 1.42
- Double chance
- 12 · 80%1X 76% · X2 44%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72%Over 1.5: 89% · Over 3.5: 51%
- Both teams score
- 68%
- Clean sheet
- 24% – 10%Lens–Marseille
- Half-time result
- 1 · 44%X 34% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 37%X/1 16% · 2/2 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.45.4 – 4.0 · Over 9.5: 46%
- Expected cards
- 4.31.9 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 63%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Two points separate the sides
Marseille’s four-match winning run will be tested at Lens, with a place in the Ligue 1 top six also at stake. Marseille sit sixth on 15 points after nine matches, three places and two points ahead of ninth-placed Lens.
The hosts have won three of their four league matches at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, while Marseille have taken two wins and suffered two defeats in four away games. Both sides have scored freely in recent weeks, setting up an intriguing test of Marseille’s momentum against Lens’s home strength.
Marseille’s run meets Lens’s response
Marseille have won four league matches in a row, including four victories in their last five. They scored 14 goals and conceded seven across those five matches, and their most recent league outing ended in a win.
Lens have three wins and two defeats in their last five league games, scoring eight and conceding six. Their most recent match was a defeat, so they will be looking to respond in front of their home support. Across the campaign, Lens have scored 16 and conceded 13, while Marseille have scored 20 and conceded 13.
Recent meetings favour Marseille
Marseille have won three of the last five meetings, with Lens winning the other two and no draws. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 to Marseille in Ligue 1 in January. Only one of those five matches produced two goals or fewer, a reminder that this fixture has often been open.
Lens’s attack against Marseille’s momentum
Lens have scored nine goals in four home league matches, but have yet to keep a clean sheet in the league. Marseille have three clean sheets overall and one in four away matches, though their recent scoring form gives them a clear threat on the road.
The contrast is central to the contest: Lens have made their home ground productive, while Marseille arrive with four straight wins and 14 goals across their last five league games.
Our prediction
Lens’s home scoring record gives them the edge in a match where Marseille’s winning run should still make them dangerous. PreviaXI’s model favours the hosts, with Lens’s attacking output pointing to a narrow home victory.
Lens 2-1 Marseille
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