Botola Pro · Matchday 5 Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida: leaders look to pull clear
Kawkab Marrakech top the Botola Pro standings after four rounds, and a Sunday meeting with Difaa EL Jadida could open a gap that shapes the title race. Difaa need a result to keep pace.
All Matchday 5 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Kawkab Marrakech | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Difaa EL Jadida | 2.8 | 2.8 |
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.29 – 1.02
- Double chance
- 1X · 73%12 67% · X2 60%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Expected corners
- 1.81.0 – 0.8 · Over 9.5: 0%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.1 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 56%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Kawkab Marrakech
- Power ratings: Kawkab Marrakech +0.16 goals per game (6th of 16 in Botola Pro), Difaa EL Jadida -0.05 (12th).
- Kawkab Marrakech's attack (1.03 goals per game) meets Difaa EL Jadida's defence (1.37 conceded per game).
- Difaa EL Jadida's attack (1.32) meets Kawkab Marrakech's defence (0.87).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 3% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.29 – 1.02 goals: Kawkab Marrakech 40%, draw 33%, Difaa EL Jadida 27%.
Trends
- Both teams scored in 7 of Difaa EL Jadida’s last 8 matches.
- Kawkab Marrakech have won their last 3 matches.
- 6 of Kawkab Marrakech’s last 8 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- 6 of Difaa EL Jadida’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Difaa EL Jadida are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings with Kawkab Marrakech.
Season stats
| · | Kawkab Marrakech | Difaa EL Jadida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-1 | 1-0-1 | 2-0-2 | 1-0-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 2.00 | 2.75 | 5.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.75 | 2.00 |
| Scored in | 100% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 50% | 75% | 100% |
League matches this season (Botola Pro). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Kawkab Marrakech
- 0-151 / 1
- 16-300 / 0
- 31-452 / 0
- 46-600 / 0
- 61-751 / 2
- 76-90+2 / 1
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Difaa EL Jadida
- 0-152 / 1
- 16-300 / 3
- 31-452 / 2
- 46-601 / 3
- 61-753 / 0
- 76-90+3 / 2
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CODM Meknès | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Kawkab Marrakech | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Wydad AC | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 4 |  Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 |  Ittihad Tanger | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Maghreb Fès | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  UTS Rabat | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 |  Difaa EL Jadida | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 |  Raja Casablanca | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 10 |  FAR Rabat | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Amal Tiznit | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 12 |  Renaissance Berkane | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 |  Widad Témara | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Moghreb Tetouan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  FUS Rabat | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 |  CR Khemis Zemamra | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Next matches
Kawkab Marrakech
- Sat 31 OctAmal Tiznit – Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- Sat 7 NovKawkab Marrakech – Wydad ACBotola Pro
Difaa EL Jadida
- Fri 30 OctDifaa EL Jadida – UTS RabatBotola Pro
- Sun 8 NovFAR Rabat – Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Kawkab Marrakech 2 wins · 4 draws · Difaa EL Jadida 4 wins
- 28/06/2026Difaa EL Jadida1-1Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 21/02/2026Kawkab Marrakech0-0Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 21/08/2025Difaa EL Jadida2-0Kawkab MarrakechFriendlies Clubs
- 08/06/2024Difaa EL Jadida0-0Kawkab MarrakechBotola 2
- 08/12/2023Kawkab Marrakech1-0Difaa EL JadidaBotola 2
- 02/03/2019Difaa EL Jadida1-1Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 20/10/2018Kawkab Marrakech2-1Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 28/04/2018Kawkab Marrakech2-5Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 17/12/2017Difaa EL Jadida1-0Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 04/03/2017Difaa EL Jadida1-0Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
Kawkab Marrakech sit top of the table on nine points, three ahead of Difaa EL Jadida, who are seventh in a 16-team league. A win for the leaders would give them a cushion this early in the season, while a defeat would leave Difaa chasing a title and qualification race that is only beginning to take shape.
Kawkab’s control versus Difaa’s open games
Kawkab have won three of their last four matches, scoring six times and conceding four in that spell. They have also kept two clean sheets away from home. Difaa have won twice as well, but their matches have been far more open. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 11 in their last four, and they have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.
Three draws in four meetings
The competitive history between the two clubs is tight. Kawkab won 1-0 in December 2023, but the three meetings since have all ended level: 0-0 in June 2024, 0-0 in February 2026 at Kawkab, and 1-1 in June 2026 at Difaa’s ground. Neither side has managed to break the other’s resistance in recent years.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Kawkab Marrakech, and the football explains why. Kawkab are the more controlled side, with better defensive results and a stronger record on the road. Difaa’s tendency to trade goals means they are rarely in control, and that makes a narrow home win the most likely outcome. Expect a tight, physical game in which one moment decides it.
Kawkab Marrakech 1-0 Difaa EL Jadida
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