Major League Soccer · Matchday 34 
Our pick Away win Correct result
St. Louis City under pressure as Houston Dynamo await
St. Louis City arrive in Houston on a four-match losing run and without a win in five. The teams are level on points, making this a chance for either side to strengthen its position in the Western Conference.
📍 BBVA Compass Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 34 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Houston Dynamo 0-1 St. Louis City.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 23–13; Shots on target: 6–1; Corners: 9–3; Expected goals: 1.37–0.87.
Goals
- 90+7' Lukas MacNaughton · Alexandru Măţan · St. Louis City
Cards
- 82' Lucas Halter · Houston Dynamo
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: B. Lundt (St. Louis City) 8.1
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Houston Dynamo · 5-3-2
- 31J. BondG
- 11L. EnnaliD
- 36Felipe AndradeD
- 34A. ReschD
- 5Lucas HalterD
- 21F. NegriD
- 30A. BouzatM
- 6ArturM
- 19M. BoguszM
- 9L. FosterF
- 20GuilhermeF
Coach: Ben Olsen
St. Louis City · 3-4-3
- 39B. LundtG
- 5L. MacNaughtonD
- 32T. BaumgartlD
- 27F. FallD
- 6C. WallemM
- 21D. PolvaraM
- 8C. DurkinM
- 14T. TotlandM
- 77Jeong Sang-BinF
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 7T. OstrákF
Coach: Y. Damet
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| St. Louis City | 1.8 | 1.5 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | St. Louis City | 33 | +10 | 51 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | +1 | 51 |
Last meetings
- 2026 St. Louis City 2-1 Houston Dynamo
- 2026 St. Louis City 2-2 Houston Dynamo
- 2025 St. Louis City 2-3 Houston Dynamo
- 2025 Houston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis City
- 2024 St. Louis City 3-0 Houston Dynamo
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.30 – 1.34
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 62% · X2 65%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 26% – 27%Houston Dynamo–St. Louis City
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 28% · 2 30%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%1/1 21% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.75.1 – 4.6 · Over 9.5: 49%
- Expected cards
- 4.72.3 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 69%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Pressure rises in Houston
St. Louis City’s run of four straight defeats has put pressure on the visitors ahead of a meeting with a Houston Dynamo side that has also lost its most recent league match. With both clubs on 51 points after 33 games, this Western Conference clash offers little room for a stumble: St. Louis sit fourth and Houston fifth, with the visitors ahead on goal difference or other tie-breakers.
Houston’s home base, St. Louis’ slump
Houston have taken eight wins, five draws and three defeats from 16 home league matches, scoring 19 goals and conceding 14. Their last five league games have brought one win, three draws and a defeat, with seven goals scored and eight conceded.
St. Louis have gone four games without a point and are winless in five. Their last five league matches produced a draw and four defeats, with four goals for and 10 against. Away from home, they have won five, drawn five and lost six of 16 league fixtures, scoring 22 and conceding 25.
A balanced recent rivalry
The last five meetings across the competitions shown are evenly split: two wins apiece and one draw. St. Louis won the most recent encounter 2-1 at home in August. Houston’s home win in the series came in June 2025, when they prevailed 1-0.
Houston’s attack against St. Louis’ challenge
Houston have scored 43 league goals overall, while St. Louis have scored 58. The visitors’ greater season output contrasts with their recent struggles, and their 10 goals conceded across the last five underline the defensive task facing them in Houston.
At home, Houston have conceded 14 times in 16 league matches and kept seven clean sheets. That record gives them a platform to test a St. Louis side looking to halt its slide, though the visitors’ position above Houston in the table keeps the pressure firmly on both teams.
Our prediction
St. Louis City’s recent run makes this a difficult assignment, but the visitors’ stronger overall scoring record and their narrow edge in the standings point to a tight contest. PreviaXI’s model leans slightly towards St. Louis, and a single goal could decide it.
Houston Dynamo 0-1 St. Louis City
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