Our pick Home win Correct result
FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids: recent rivalry points to another close contest
FC Dallas have won two of the last five meetings, but Colorado Rapids have matched them across that span. With Dallas chasing a strong finish from second place, the history suggests goals and a tight game.
📍 Toyota Stadium(Texas)
Preview written:
All Matchday 34 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: FC Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 27–6; Shots on target: 10–1; Corners: 6–4; Expected goals: 3.65–0.73.
Goals
- 47' Morgan Whittaker · Georgi Minoungou · Colorado Rapids
- 75' Joaquín Valiente Cioli · Kaick da Silva Ferreira · FC Dallas
- 88' Kaick da Silva Ferreira · nolan norris · FC Dallas
- 90+2' Santiago Moreno · Logan Farrington · FC Dallas
Cards
- 37' Noah Cobb · Colorado Rapids
- 81' Matthew Elliott Wells · Colorado Rapids
- 90+5' Kosi Thompson · Colorado Rapids
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Kaick (FC Dallas) 9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
FC Dallas · 4-4-2
- 42DanielG
- 14H. JohanssonD
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 18S. MooreD
- 21J. ValienteM
- 55KaickM
- 17RamiroM
- 77B. KamungoM
- 7D. JobF
- 9P. MusaF
Coach: Eric Quill
Colorado Rapids · 4-3-3
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 24N. CobbD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 8H. OjediranM
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 12J. AtencioM
- 10P. AaronsonF
- 9S. AbuF
- 7M. WhittakerF
Coach: Matt Wells
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Colorado Rapids | 1.4 | 1.4 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | +9 | 55 |
| 9 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | -1 | 43 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Colorado Rapids 1-2 FC Dallas
- 2025 FC Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids
- 2025 Colorado Rapids 3-3 FC Dallas
- 2024 FC Dallas 2-3 Colorado Rapids
- 2024 Colorado Rapids 2-1 FC Dallas
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.67 – 1.16
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 74% · X2 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Clean sheet
- 31% – 19%FC Dallas–Colorado Rapids
- Half-time result
- X · 40%1 37% · 2 23%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 30%X/1 16% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 10.24.7 – 5.5 · Over 9.5: 56%
- Expected cards
- 4.82.3 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 71%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A playoff-positioning finish
FC Dallas have a strong position to protect in the Western Conference, while Colorado Rapids arrive twelve points behind them with one regular-season match remaining. Dallas are second on 55 points, seven places above ninth-placed Colorado, and have the sharper home record: eight wins in 16 league matches at Toyota Stadium. The recent meetings, though, offer little reason to expect an easy night.
Recent form offers no clear edge
Dallas have taken two wins, two draws and a defeat from their last five league matches, scoring seven and conceding five. Their most recent match ended in a draw. Colorado’s last five brought a win, three draws and a defeat; they also scored seven, but conceded eight, and their latest outing was a loss.
The contrast is clearer over the full campaign. Dallas have scored 59 goals in 33 league matches and conceded 50, while Colorado have scored 46 and let in 47. Away from home, Colorado have managed only two wins in 16 matches, with ten defeats.
Five meetings, plenty of goals
The last five clashes are evenly split: two wins apiece and a draw. Every one of those games produced at least three goals, and the latest meeting, in May, saw Dallas win 2-1 away to Colorado.
That recent result gives Dallas a psychological reference point, but the broader run cautions against reading too much into it. Colorado won 3-2 in Dallas in September 2024, while the teams also shared a 3-3 draw in March 2025. Their meetings have repeatedly been competitive and open, rather than pointing to a settled home advantage.
Home strength against an away weakness
Dallas’ home record is a meaningful counterweight to Colorado’s two wins on the road all season. The hosts have scored 29 times in 16 home league games, while Colorado have conceded 28 in 16 away matches. Still, the visitors have shown they can trouble Dallas, and the head-to-head record says this fixture is rarely short of goals.
Our prediction
Dallas’ stronger home results and higher scoring record make them the more convincing choice, while Colorado’s recent meetings with them suggest the visitors can find a goal. PreviaXI’s model favours a narrow home win, with the teams’ attacking output pointing to a lively contest.
FC Dallas 2-1 Colorado Rapids

