Major League Soccer · Matchday 34
FC Dallas
3–1 Full time
Colorado Rapids

Our pick Home win Correct result

FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids: recent rivalry points to another close contest

FC Dallas have won two of the last five meetings, but Colorado Rapids have matched them across that span. With Dallas chasing a strong finish from second place, the history suggests goals and a tight game.

📍 Toyota Stadium(Texas)

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: FC Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 27–6; Shots on target: 10–1; Corners: 6–4; Expected goals: 3.65–0.73.

Goals

  • 47' Morgan Whittaker · Georgi Minoungou · Colorado Rapids
  • 75' Joaquín Valiente Cioli · Kaick da Silva Ferreira · FC Dallas
  • 88' Kaick da Silva Ferreira · nolan norris · FC Dallas
  • 90+2' Santiago Moreno · Logan Farrington · FC Dallas

Cards

  • 37' Noah Cobb · Colorado Rapids
  • 81' Matthew Elliott Wells · Colorado Rapids
  • 90+5' Kosi Thompson · Colorado Rapids

Match stats

FC DallasColorado Rapids
51%Possession49%
27Shots6
10Shots on target1
3.65Expected goals (xG)0.73
6Corners4
11Fouls13
4Offsides4
0Saves7

⭐ Top-rated player: Kaick (FC Dallas) 9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

FC Dallas · 4-4-2

  1. 42DanielG
  2. 14H. JohanssonD
  3. 25S. IbeaghaD
  4. 3O. UrhoghideD
  5. 18S. MooreD
  6. 21J. ValienteM
  7. 55KaickM
  8. 17RamiroM
  9. 77B. KamungoM
  10. 7D. JobF
  11. 9P. MusaF

Coach: Eric Quill

Colorado Rapids · 4-3-3

  1. 41N. DefreitasG
  2. 33K. ThompsonD
  3. 24N. CobbD
  4. 5Loïc WilliamsD
  5. 29M. NavarroD
  6. 8H. OjediranM
  7. 13W. Frederick IIM
  8. 12J. AtencioM
  9. 10P. AaronsonF
  10. 9S. AbuF
  11. 7M. WhittakerF

Coach: Matt Wells

Match facts

Recent form

FC Dallas WDWLD
Colorado Rapids DDWDL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
FC Dallas1.81.5
Colorado Rapids1.41.4

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
2FC Dallas33 +955
9Colorado Rapids33 -143

Last meetings

  • 2026 Colorado Rapids 1-2 FC Dallas
  • 2025 FC Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids
  • 2025 Colorado Rapids 3-3 FC Dallas
  • 2024 FC Dallas 2-3 Colorado Rapids
  • 2024 Colorado Rapids 2-1 FC Dallas

PreviaXI model

FC Dallas49% Draw25% Colorado Rapids26%

Model confidence: Medium

Expected goals (model)
1.67 – 1.16
Double chance
12 · 75%1X 74% · X2 51%
Over 2.5 goals
54%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 31%
Both teams score
56%
Clean sheet
31% – 19%FC Dallas–Colorado Rapids
Half-time result
X · 40%1 37% · 2 23%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 30%X/1 16% · X/X 15%
Expected corners
10.24.7 – 5.5 · Over 9.5: 56%
Expected cards
4.82.3 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 71%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A playoff-positioning finish

FC Dallas have a strong position to protect in the Western Conference, while Colorado Rapids arrive twelve points behind them with one regular-season match remaining. Dallas are second on 55 points, seven places above ninth-placed Colorado, and have the sharper home record: eight wins in 16 league matches at Toyota Stadium. The recent meetings, though, offer little reason to expect an easy night.

Recent form offers no clear edge

Dallas have taken two wins, two draws and a defeat from their last five league matches, scoring seven and conceding five. Their most recent match ended in a draw. Colorado’s last five brought a win, three draws and a defeat; they also scored seven, but conceded eight, and their latest outing was a loss.

The contrast is clearer over the full campaign. Dallas have scored 59 goals in 33 league matches and conceded 50, while Colorado have scored 46 and let in 47. Away from home, Colorado have managed only two wins in 16 matches, with ten defeats.

Five meetings, plenty of goals

The last five clashes are evenly split: two wins apiece and a draw. Every one of those games produced at least three goals, and the latest meeting, in May, saw Dallas win 2-1 away to Colorado.

That recent result gives Dallas a psychological reference point, but the broader run cautions against reading too much into it. Colorado won 3-2 in Dallas in September 2024, while the teams also shared a 3-3 draw in March 2025. Their meetings have repeatedly been competitive and open, rather than pointing to a settled home advantage.

Home strength against an away weakness

Dallas’ home record is a meaningful counterweight to Colorado’s two wins on the road all season. The hosts have scored 29 times in 16 home league games, while Colorado have conceded 28 in 16 away matches. Still, the visitors have shown they can trouble Dallas, and the head-to-head record says this fixture is rarely short of goals.

Our prediction

Dallas’ stronger home results and higher scoring record make them the more convincing choice, while Colorado’s recent meetings with them suggest the visitors can find a goal. PreviaXI’s model favours a narrow home win, with the teams’ attacking output pointing to a lively contest.

FC Dallas 2-1 Colorado Rapids

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