Botola Pro · Matchday 1 FAR Rabat and Raja Casablanca seek the edge in a tight Botola Pro race
FAR Rabat and Raja Casablanca are separated by just two points, with both sides unbeaten in the league so far. Their recent meetings have been close, setting up another contest where small margins could decide it.
📍 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
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Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| FAR Rabat | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Raja Casablanca | 0.8 | 0.5 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FAR Rabat | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 13 | Raja Casablanca | 5 | -1 | 6 |
Last meetings
- 2026FAR Rabat2-1Raja Casablanca
- 2025Raja Casablanca0-0FAR Rabat
- 2025FAR Rabat0-0Raja Casablanca
- 2025FAR Rabat1-1Raja Casablanca
- 2024Raja Casablanca0-2FAR Rabat
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.00 – 0.84
- Double chance
- 1X · 73%12 63% · X2 64%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 28%Over 1.5: 57% · Over 3.5: 11%
- Both teams score
- 38%
- Clean sheet
- 43% – 37%FAR Rabat–Raja Casablanca
- Half-time result
- X · 53%1 26% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- X/X · 27%1/1 20% · X/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 2.51.7 – 0.8 · Over 9.5: 1%
- Expected cards
- 4.92.6 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 71%
- Most likely scores
- 0-018%
- 1-115%
- 1-014%
- 0-111%
- 2-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: FAR Rabat +0.63 goals per game (1st of 16 in Botola Pro), Raja Casablanca +0.44 (4th).
- FAR Rabat's attack (1.42 goals per game) meets Raja Casablanca's defence (0.75 conceded per game).
- Raja Casablanca's attack (1.19) meets FAR Rabat's defence (0.79).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 6% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.00 – 0.84 goals: FAR Rabat 36%, draw 37%, Raja Casablanca 27%.
Two points, little room to spare
FAR Rabat’s 2-1 win over Raja Casablanca on 30 April is the most recent meeting between the sides, and it offers a timely reminder that this rivalry can turn on a narrow margin. They meet again in Rabat with only two points between them in the Botola Pro standings: FAR are sixth on eight points after four matches, while Raja sit 13th on six after five.
Both teams remain unbeaten in the league, but their routes to that position differ. FAR have taken two wins and two draws; Raja have one win and three draws. With the season still taking shape, a victory would give either side a valuable early step up the table.
FAR sharper in front of goal
FAR have scored five times in four league matches and conceded twice. At home, they have won both of their games without allowing a goal, a strong platform for a side that can take the initiative in Rabat.
Raja have been difficult to beat, conceding only twice across five matches, but their attack has been quieter: three goals in four league outings. They have drawn three times, including twice away from home, and will look to turn that resilience into a result that moves them closer to FAR.
Recent meetings stay tight
The 2-1 result in April ended a run of three successive draws between the clubs. Before that, they shared a 0-0 in the league in September 2025 and another 0-0 in February; their two listed CAF Champions League meetings also produced a draw and a FAR victory.
That pattern points to a fixture where chances may be scarce and the opening goal could carry extra weight.
A chance to make the difference
No absences are specified for either side. The clearest contrast is between FAR’s home record, with two wins and two clean sheets, and Raja’s ability to keep matches close, despite scoring less often. FAR will want to use their home advantage; Raja’s task is to maintain their defensive discipline while finding more threat going forward.
Our prediction
FAR’s clean-sheet record at home gives them a slight edge, but Raja’s low-scoring, draw-heavy run suggests a close contest. PreviaXI’s model leans narrowly towards FAR, with a goalless draw its likeliest scoreline.
FAR Rabat 0-0 Raja Casablanca
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