Botola Pro · Matchday 6 
Our pick1–0Exact score
Can CR Khemis Zemamra upset Ittihad Tanger in Tangier?
Ittihad Tanger arrive with the stronger start and home advantage, but recent head-to-head results show CR Khemis Zemamra can make this a difficult test.
📍 Stade Ibn Batouta
Preview written:
All Matchday 6 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Ittihad Tanger edged CR Khemis Zemamra 1-0 in Botola Pro, Regular Season - 6. The match’s only goal came in the 77th minute, when ibrahim dieng scored for Ittihad Tanger. No red cards were shown.
The numbers were close in possession, with Ittihad Tanger holding 51% to CR Khemis Zemamra’s 49%. The visitors had more total shots, 14 to six, and more shots on target, three to two; both teams had four corners. The result matched the pre-match model’s predicted 1-0 score, which gave Ittihad Tanger a 41% chance of winning, a draw 33%, and CR Khemis Zemamra a 26% chance.
Goals
- 77'ibrahim dieng · Ittihad Tanger
Cards
- 71'Abdel Maali · Ittihad Tanger
- 74'james ajako · CR Khemis Zemamra
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Ittihad Tanger | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| CR Khemis Zemamra | 1.0 | 2.2 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ittihad Tanger | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 5 | -6 | 1 |
Last meetings
- 2026Ittihad Tanger1-0CR Khemis Zemamra
- 2026CR Khemis Zemamra1-0Ittihad Tanger
- 2025CR Khemis Zemamra2-0Ittihad Tanger
- 2024Ittihad Tanger0-1CR Khemis Zemamra
- 2024CR Khemis Zemamra0-1Ittihad Tanger
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.28 – 0.98
- Double chance
- 1X · 74%12 67% · X2 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 19%
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Clean sheet
- 37% – 28%Ittihad Tanger–CR Khemis Zemamra
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 31% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%X/X 22% · X/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 1.91.1 – 0.8 · Over 9.5: 0%
- Expected cards
- 5.43.0 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 78%
- Most likely scores
- 1-116%
- 0-013%
- 1-011%
- 2-09%
- 2-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Ittihad have the edge
Ittihad Tanger’s opening five rounds have been uneven, but they have collected seven points and sit eighth in the 16-team Botola Pro. Their record of two wins, one draw and two defeats is a solid platform compared with CR Khemis Zemamra’s difficult start: one point, no wins and 16th place.
That makes Ittihad the favourites at Stade Ibn Batouta, though the gap should not be mistaken for certainty. The visitors have taken points off them in three of the last five meetings, including a 1-0 win in Tangier in October 2024.
Form points to a home advantage
Ittihad have won two of their last five league matches, scoring seven goals and conceding seven. Their recent sequence has included both wins and defeats, but they have been more productive than Zemamra, who have lost four of their first five and drawn the other.
The visitors have conceded 11 goals across those five games, an average of 2.2 per match, while scoring five. That defensive record gives Ittihad an opportunity to take control, especially at home, where they have yet to lose in two league appearances this season.
Still, Zemamra have scored in four of their five league matches. If they can avoid the defensive lapses that have shaped their start, they have a route to troubling the hosts.
Recent meetings offer a warning
The last five head-to-heads are finely balanced: Ittihad have won twice and Zemamra three times. All five were decided by a single goal, and the most recent meeting ended 1-0 to Ittihad in June 2026.
That history underlines the likely challenge for the home side: their stronger current form does not guarantee a comfortable afternoon.
No absences listed
No player absences are listed for either team.
A narrow margin looks likely
The statistical model makes Ittihad the likelier winners, but points to a close contest rather than a goal-heavy one. The hosts’ better results and home record give them the advantage, while Zemamra’s ability to score and their past success in this fixture argue against taking them lightly.
Our prediction
Ittihad should have enough to turn their home advantage into a narrow win, but Zemamra’s recent head-to-head record suggests the visitors can keep the game tight. A low-scoring contest looks the likeliest outcome.
Ittihad Tanger 1-0 CR Khemis Zemamra
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