Crewe seek to turn the tide against unbeaten AFC Wimbledon

Crewe’s chance to change the story

AFC Wimbledon come to Alexandra Stadium with a firm recent edge over Crewe: they have gone unbeaten in the sides’ last five meetings. Yet the visitors are 18th in League One with 13 points from 13 matches, while Crewe sit fourth in League Two on 22 points after 14 games. That contrast gives the home side a chance to make their current standing count in this FA Cup first-round tie.

Different league trajectories

Crewe’s last five league matches have brought two wins, a draw and two defeats, with a draw in their most recent game. AFC Wimbledon’s run is less encouraging: they have drawn once and lost four of their last five league fixtures, most recently suffering defeat.

The teams play in different divisions, so their positions offer context rather than a direct comparison in one table. Still, Crewe’s place near the top of League Two contrasts with Wimbledon’s position in the lower part of League One.

Wimbledon have had the upper hand

The recent head-to-head record is the central challenge for Crewe. AFC Wimbledon have one win and four draws across the last five meetings, while Crewe have not won any of them. Wimbledon are unbeaten in that run, although three of those five games finished with two goals or fewer.

The latest meeting, in February 2025 in League Two, was the most decisive: AFC Wimbledon won 3-0. Crewe will need a response to that result if they are to end the sequence and advance.

Our prediction

Crewe’s stronger league position and Wimbledon’s recent run of four defeats in five league matches point towards a narrow home advantage. The model also favours Crewe, with the recent head-to-head record a reminder that the visitors can make this difficult.

Crewe 1-0 AFC Wimbledon