FA Cup · 1/128-finals 
Our pick Away win
Notts County’s recent edge shapes FA Cup tie with Altrincham
Notts County have won four of the last five meetings, including a 2-0 victory in the most recent encounter. Altrincham’s stronger position in the National League gives the hosts a chance to challenge that trend.
📍 Moss Lane
Preview written:
Match report
After extra time: Altrincham 2-2 Notts County.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 14–26; Shots on target: 8–10; Corners: 8–11.
Goals
- 28' Jacob Bedeau · Callum Roberts · Notts County
- 39' Lucas Weaver · Matthew Kosylo · Altrincham
- 59' Lewis Banks · Altrincham
- 84' Callum Roberts · lee ndlovu · Notts County
Cards
- 34' Scott Robertson · Notts County
- 69' Lewis Banks · Altrincham
- 80' James Gibbons · Notts County
- 97' Max Sanders · Notts County
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Altrincham · 4-3-3
- 34Harvey IstedG
- 2L. BanksD
- 21R. Lopata-WhiteD
- 24Sam BarnesD
- 5J. Southern-CooperD
- 7Otis KhanM
- 14Matthew KosyloM
- 22T. CrawfordM
- 15S. TaylorF
- 17Lucas WeaverF
- 10A. BarlowF
Coach: Lee Jones
Notts County · 4-3-3
- 1J. GibbonsG
- 3R. McDonaldD
- 12L. NessD
- 4J. BedeauD
- 26I. Samuels-SmithD
- 27R. FinneranM
- 25N. TsaroullaM
- 20S. RobertsonM
- 7C. RobertsF
- 9D. KanuF
- 19L. SmythF
Coach: M. Paterson
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Altrincham | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Notts County | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Last meetings
- 2023 Altrincham 0-2 Notts County
- 2022 Notts County 3-1 Altrincham
- 2022 Notts County 3-0 Altrincham
- 2021 Notts County 2-1 Altrincham
- 2021 Altrincham 1-0 Notts County
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.17 – 1.28
- Double chance
- 12 · 71%1X 62% · X2 67%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 31%Altrincham–Notts County
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 26% · 2 30%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%1/1 19% · X/X 18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A cup tie across divisions
Altrincham are seventh in the National League with 28 points from 16 matches, while Notts County sit 17th in League One with 14 points from 12. Those standings come from separate divisions, but the gap in level sets an intriguing backdrop to this FA Cup first-round tie at Moss Lane on Saturday.
Similar league runs
Both sides have the same record across their last five league games: two wins, a draw and two defeats. The latest results differ, though: Altrincham lost their most recent league match, while Notts County won theirs.
Altrincham’s FA Cup record offers a more positive note, albeit from only two matches in this competition: a draw followed by a win. They have scored six goals and conceded two across those ties, with one clean sheet. At home in the FA Cup, their sole match ended in a draw, with neither side scoring.
Notts have controlled the rivalry
The recent head-to-head record is the defining thread. Notts County have won four of the last five meetings, with Altrincham claiming the other; none ended level. The latest was a 2-0 Notts County victory at Altrincham in March 2023, in the National League.
That record has not always meant a high-scoring contest: two of those five meetings contained two goals or fewer. Still, Notts have repeatedly found a way past Altrincham, and the hosts will need to turn home advantage into a different outcome if they are to rewrite the pattern.
Our prediction
The recent rivalry favours Notts County, and the statistical model also leans narrowly towards the League One side. Altrincham’s cup scoring across two ties suggests they can make this competitive, but Notts’ edge in the meetings points to a tight away win.
Altrincham 0-1 Notts County
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