Al-Ittihad and NEOM meet with two points between them
Fourth-placed Al-Ittihad are just two points ahead of fifth-placed NEOM, setting up a tight contest in Jeddah. Both arrive in form, with the hosts unbeaten in three and the visitors on a two-match winning run.
📍 King Abdullah Sports City
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Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Ittihad FC | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| NEOM | 1.5 | 0.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | NEOM | 12 | +8 | 22 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Al-Ittihad FC 3-4 NEOM
- 2025 NEOM 1-3 Al-Ittihad FC
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.59 – 1.23
- Double chance
- 1X · 72%12 72% · X2 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 20%Al-Ittihad FC–NEOM
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 34% · 2 25%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%X/X 16% · 2/2 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.25.0 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 44%
- Expected cards
- 3.92.0 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 55%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Two points between them
A two-point gap separates Al-Ittihad FC and NEOM in the Pro League, making this Jeddah meeting a direct test of their places near the top of the table. Al-Ittihad sit fourth on 24 points after 11 matches, one place above fifth-placed NEOM, who have 22 points from 12 games.
The hosts have won seven, drawn three and lost once in the league, scoring 21 goals and conceding 11. NEOM have also won seven, but have four defeats alongside a draw in their 12 matches. They have scored 18 and conceded 10, so the visitors’ slightly tighter defensive record contrasts with Al-Ittihad’s greater goal return.
Momentum on both sides
Al-Ittihad are unbeaten in three league matches and have taken three wins, a draw and a defeat from their last five, scoring 12 goals in that spell. Their home record is particularly strong: four wins and a draw from five matches, with 10 goals scored and five conceded.
NEOM come to Jeddah after two consecutive wins. Across their last five, they have two victories, a draw and two defeats, scoring five and conceding four. Away from home, they have three wins, a draw and two defeats in six league games, with seven goals scored and four conceded.
Recent meetings have brought goals
The last two meetings have produced one win apiece and no draws, and neither finished with two goals or fewer. The most recent was a 4-3 NEOM victory at Al-Ittihad in April 2026, while Al-Ittihad won 3-1 away in the other meeting.
Home advantage and attacking threat
Al-Ittihad’s unbeaten home run gives them a solid platform, while their 12 goals across their last five league games underline the attacking threat they bring into this fixture. NEOM’s recent defensive numbers are more restrained, with four goals conceded across their last five, and their away record includes only four goals conceded in six matches.
That sets up a contest between Al-Ittihad’s scoring output and a NEOM side that has been difficult to break down on the road. The two-point margin leaves little room for either team to treat the match as anything other than an opportunity to strengthen its position.
Our prediction
Al-Ittihad’s strong home record and higher recent scoring return give them a narrow edge, though NEOM’s away resilience and back-to-back wins point to a close game. PreviaXI’s model also favours the hosts, with both sides likely to find a way through.
Al-Ittihad FC 2-1 NEOM

