Al-Faisaly’s defensive trouble meets Al Diriyah’s blunt attack
Al-Faisaly FC’s vulnerability at the back contrasts with Al Diriyah’s stronger defensive record, but the visitors have struggled to score lately. Both teams come into the match after a league defeat.
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Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Faisaly FC | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Al Diriyah | 0.8 | 1.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | -11 | 10 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Al-Faisaly FC 2-2 Al Diriyah
- 2025 Al Diriyah 1-1 Al-Faisaly FC
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.17 – 1.29
- Double chance
- 12 · 69%1X 63% · X2 68%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 31%Al-Faisaly FC–Al Diriyah
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 26% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%X/X 19% · 1/1 18%
- Expected corners
- 8.33.7 – 4.6 · Over 9.5: 32%
- Expected cards
- 3.92.0 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 53%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A gap in the table
Al Diriyah arrive seven places and five points above Al-Faisaly FC, sitting eighth with 15 points after 12 matches. Al-Faisaly are 15th on 10 points, with a goal difference of -11 compared with their visitors’ -3. The contrast is clear: the hosts have conceded 24 goals in the league, while Al Diriyah have let in 13.
Defensive weakness meets a scoring drought
Al-Faisaly have won twice, drawn four and lost six in 12 league matches. Their last five brought two wins, a draw and two defeats, with eight goals scored but 11 conceded. At home, they have managed one win, two draws and three defeats, conceding 11 times in six games.
Al Diriyah’s overall record is more balanced: four wins, three draws and five defeats, with 10 goals scored and 13 conceded. They have been more effective away from home, winning three of five and scoring six while conceding six. Yet their recent attack has slowed: across their last five league matches they scored only three goals, while conceding eight. They have also lost their last two league games in a row.
That makes the key question whether Al-Faisaly can exploit the visitors’ recent lack of goals, or whether their own defensive record will give Al Diriyah room to recover.
Recent meetings have been level
The two most recent meetings both ended in draws. Their latest encounter, in March 2026 in Division 1, finished 2-2; the other was a 1-1 draw in November 2025. Neither side won either match.
The attacking burden
Al-Faisaly’s eight goals in their last five suggest more recent attacking output than Al Diriyah’s three, but the hosts’ 11 goals conceded in that spell underline their defensive concern. Al Diriyah have the stronger season-long defensive figures and a better away record, though they need to find more threat in front of goal.
Our prediction
Al Diriyah’s more reliable defence and stronger away results give them a narrow edge, even with their recent scoring drought. PreviaXI’s model also leans slightly towards the visitors, and a low-scoring game looks plausible.
Al-Faisaly FC 0-1 Al Diriyah

