Pro League · Matchday 12 
Our pick3–0Correct result
Al-Hilal’s winning run faces a struggling Al-Fateh
Al-Hilal have won nine of their first 10 league matches and arrive with four straight victories in their recent form. Al-Fateh’s defensive struggles give the hosts a chance to keep rolling in Riyadh.
📍 Kingdom Arena
Preview written:
All Matchday 12 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al-Fateh 2-0. Ollie Watkins opened the scoring for the home side in the 12th minute, and the match remained 1-0 until stoppage time. Rúben Neves then converted a penalty in the 90+1st minute to complete the win. There were no red cards.
The statistics underline Al-Hilal Saudi FC’s control: they had 68% possession and led 23-4 in total shots, with a 6-0 advantage in shots on target. Their expected goals were 3.63 to Al-Fateh’s 0.28. Rúben Neves was the top-rated player, with a rating of 7.8. The result was narrower than the pre-match model’s predicted 3-0, though it aligned with its forecast of an Al-Hilal Saudi FC win (83%; draw 12%, Al-Fateh win 5%).
Goals
- 12'Ollie Watkins · Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- 90+1'Rúben Neves (pen.) · Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Cards
- 2'Marwane Saadane · Al-Fateh
- 48'Lukáš Haraslín · Al-Fateh
- 74'Rúben Neves · Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- 75'Kennedy Boateng · Al-Fateh
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Rúben Neves (Al-Hilal Saudi FC) 7.8
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · 4-4-2
- 37Y. BounouG
- 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
- 87Hassan TambaktiD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 19T. HernándezD
- 22S. Milinković-SavićM
- 8Rúben NevesM
- 6Nasser Al DawsariM
- 38C. SummervilleM
- 27Sultan MandashF
- 11O. WatkinsF
Coach: S. Inzaghi
Al-Fateh · 5-4-1
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 8M. LixandruD
- 3K. BoatengD
- 17M. SaâdaneD
- 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
- 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariD
- 11M. BatnaM
- 28Z. YoussoufM
- 6Ali Al HassanM
- 10L. HaraslínM
- 9W. KangaF
Coach: J. Sellami
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| Al-Fateh | 0.9 | 2.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 11 | -13 | 6 |
Last meetings
- 2026Al-Fateh0-1Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- 2025Al-Hilal Saudi FC4-1Al-Fateh
- 2025Al-Hilal Saudi FC2-1Al-Fateh
- 2025Al-Fateh3-4Al-Hilal Saudi FC
- 2025Al-Hilal Saudi FC9-0Al-Fateh
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 3-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 3.17 – 0.75
- Double chance
- 1X · 95%12 88% · X2 17%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75%Over 1.5: 91% · Over 3.5: 55%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 47% – 4%Al-Hilal Saudi FC–Al-Fateh
- Half-time result
- 1 · 65%X 27% · 2 8%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 62%X/1 18% · X/X 6%
- Expected corners
- 11.37.9 – 3.4 · Over 9.5: 69%
- Expected cards
- 3.91.5 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 54%
- Most likely scores
- 3-011%
- 2-010%
- 4-08%
- 3-18%
- 2-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A chance to keep climbing
Al-Hilal Saudi FC can extend their winning run and strengthen their push near the top of the Pro League table when they meet Al-Fateh in Riyadh on Saturday. The hosts are third with 27 points from 10 matches, while Al-Fateh sit 16th on six points after 11 games.
The gap is reflected in their season records: Al-Hilal have won nine times, compared with Al-Fateh’s single victory. With Al-Fateh already conceding 23 goals, Al-Hilal will see this as an opportunity to make their attacking quality count again.
Al-Hilal carry the momentum
Al-Hilal’s recent sequence reads four wins, a defeat and then four more wins across their 10 league matches. They have scored 13 goals in their last five games, conceding six, and have averaged three goals per match over the season.
Al-Fateh’s form offers a sharp contrast. They have taken one win, three draws and seven defeats in the league, and have conceded 16 goals across their last five outings. Their total of 23 conceded in 11 matches points to a defence under pressure against one of the competition’s most productive sides.
Recent meetings favour the hosts
Al-Hilal have won all five of the latest meetings listed, including a 1-0 league victory away at Al-Fateh in March. The most recent home league meeting ended 2-1, while the sides’ last five encounters have produced plenty of goals, including a 9-0 Al-Hilal win in January 2025.
No reported absences
Neither side has any listed absences, leaving both teams without reported selection issues ahead of the match.
Al-Hilal’s attack in focus
Al-Hilal’s 30 league goals in 10 matches underline the threat they bring, with 19 scored away from home and 11 at home. Their recent five-game return of 13 goals suggests the winning run has been supported by sustained attacking output.
Al-Fateh have scored 10 goals in 11 league matches but shipped more than twice that number. Their recent record of 16 conceded in five games will be a concern as they try to contain the hosts.
Our prediction
Al-Hilal’s stronger form, prolific scoring and record in recent meetings make them clear favourites. Al-Fateh’s defensive record points to a difficult evening, and PreviaXI’s model also favours a home win with a clean sheet.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-0 Al-Fateh
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