Pro League · Matchday 12 
Our pick0–1Missed
Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly FC: a narrow gap, a valuable chance
Just two points separate Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly FC after 11 rounds, with both sides looking for a result to shift the balance near the bottom of the table. Al-Faisaly arrive in better recent form, but the numbers point to a closely contested match.
📍 Al Majma’a Sport City
Preview written:
All Matchday 12 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Al-Fayha came from behind to defeat Al-Faisaly FC 4-1. Abdulrahman Al Safari put the visitors ahead in the 30th minute, assisted by Yaseen Barnawi, but Fashion Sakala levelled for Al-Fayha in the 43rd minute with Jason Remeseiro providing the assist. Ziyad Al-Sahafi made it 2-1 in the 57th minute, again assisted by Remeseiro. Remeseiro then scored in the 66th minute, assisted by Sakala, before Hugo Moura completed the scoring in the 90+1st minute, with Sakala assisting.
The teams had similar expected goals, with Al-Fayha at 1.34 and Al-Faisaly FC at 1.18. Al-Fayha recorded 16 shots to the visitors’ 17, while shots on target were 6-5 in the hosts’ favour. F. Sakala was the top-rated player, with a 9.5 rating. The result differed from the pre-match model’s 0-1 prediction, which gave Al-Fayha a 34% win chance, a draw 31% and Al-Faisaly FC a 35% win chance.
Goals
- 30'Abdulrahman Al Safari · Yaseen Barnawi · Al-Faisaly FC
- 43'Fashion Sakala · Jason Remeseiro · Al-Fayha
- 57'Ziyad Al-Sahafi · Jason Remeseiro · Al-Fayha
- 66'Jason Remeseiro · Fashion Sakala · Al-Fayha
- 90+1'Hugo Moura · Fashion Sakala · Al-Fayha
Cards
- 21'Abdulaziz Al-Bishi · Al-Faisaly FC
- 29'Fábio Luiz Carille de Araujo · Al-Fayha
- 33'Flávio · Al-Faisaly FC
- 33'Hugo Moura · Al-Fayha
- 35'Alexandre Mendy · Al-Faisaly FC
- 56'Abdulrahman Al Safari · Al-Faisaly FC
- 61'Jason Remeseiro · Al-Fayha
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: F. Sakala (Al-Fayha) 9.5
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Al-Fayha · 4-4-2
- 52O. MosqueraG
- 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
- 21Ziyad Al SahafiD
- 25O. ColleyD
- 12Turki Al JaadiD
- 40Yago SantanaM
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 6Ali Al HussainM
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 23JasonF
- 10F. SakalaF
Coach: Fábio Carille
Al-Faisaly FC · 3-4-3
- 1Fernando PachecoG
- 87A. BaD
- 4A. SeckD
- 5Andrei GirottoD
- 2Yaseen BarnawiM
- 8FlávioM
- 14Abdullah AlmuqrinM
- 18Abdulrahman Al SafariM
- 10T. BongondaF
- 19Alexandre MendyF
- 24Abdulaziz Al BishiF
Coach: G. Solinas
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Fayha | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Al-Faisaly FC | 1.1 | 1.8 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Al-Faisaly FC | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Al-Fayha | 11 | -7 | 8 |
Last meetings
- 2022Al-Fayha0-0Al-Faisaly FC
- 2021Al-Faisaly FC2-1Al-Fayha
- 2020Al-Fayha2-1Al-Faisaly FC
- 2019Al-Faisaly FC0-0Al-Fayha
- 2019Al-Fayha3-4Al-Faisaly FC
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.25 – 1.27
- Double chance
- 12 · 69%1X 65% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 25%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 29%Al-Fayha–Al-Faisaly FC
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 28% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 20%2/2 20% · X/X 19%
- Expected corners
- 8.44.6 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 33%
- Expected cards
- 2.91.3 – 1.6 · Over 3.5: 34%
- Most likely scores
- 1-115%
- 0-010%
- 0-18%
- 1-08%
- 1-28%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Two points, one important step
Al-Faisaly FC sit 14th in the Pro League with 10 points from 11 matches; Al-Fayha are 15th with eight. In an 18-team division, the gap is small enough for one result to change the picture, making this a valuable opportunity for either side to gain ground.
Their goal differences are similarly tight: Al-Faisaly are on -8 and Al-Fayha on -7. Neither has built a clear advantage over the other in the table, so the immediate prize is more than three points: it is a chance to create separation from a close rival.
Recent form favours the visitors
Al-Faisaly have won two of their last five matches, scoring eight goals in that run, though they have also conceded 10. Their latest five results read WLDWL, a mixed sequence that nevertheless compares favourably with Al-Fayha’s DLLDD.
Al-Fayha have taken just one win in 11 league games and are still seeking a stronger run. They have scored five goals across their last five matches and conceded eight. At home this season, they have one win, two draws and two defeats in five matches, with eight goals scored and 11 conceded.
A history of close encounters
The last five league meetings include two draws and three matches decided by a single goal. The most recent, in February 2022, ended 0-0 at Al-Fayha’s ground. Their earlier meetings offer little to suggest either side can expect an easy afternoon.
Players and absences
No absences are listed for either team, and no individual players are named in the preview information. The focus, then, falls on the sides’ collective performances: Al-Faisaly’s greater recent scoring output against Al-Fayha’s slightly better goal difference and home setting.
Our prediction
Al-Faisaly’s recent results and attacking return give them a narrow edge, while Al-Fayha’s home record and the table’s tight margins point to a close contest. PreviaXI’s model leans marginally towards the visitors, with a low-scoring game a plausible outcome.
Al-Fayha 0-1 Al-Faisaly FC
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