Our pick Home win Missed
Two points separate Al-Arabi and Al Ahli in Doha
Al-Arabi SC sit fourth, just two points and one place above Al Ahli Doha. A win for either side could shift the balance in a tightly packed part of the Stars League table.
📍 Grand Hamad Stadium
Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Al-Arabi SC 2-2 Al Ahli Doha.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 16–14; Shots on target: 4–6; Corners: 9–0; Expected goals: 2.43–1.38.
Goals
- 43' Issa Laye · Oussama Tannane · Al-Arabi SC
- 45+2' Isaac Lihadji · Al-Arabi SC
- 59' Erik Expósito · Al Ahli Doha
- 61' Erik Expósito · Younis Hussein Abdelrahman · Al Ahli Doha
Cards
- 34' Ayoub Amraoui · Al Ahli Doha
- 85' Ahmed Reyed Mawla · Al Ahli Doha
- 86' Wassim Keddari · Al-Arabi SC
- 90+8' C. Contra · Al-Arabi SC
- 90+9' Nebojša Jovović · Al Ahli Doha
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Erik Expósito (Al Ahli Doha) 9.4
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Al-Arabi SC · 4-4-2
- 31Jasem Al HailG
- 22K. BauobidaD
- 5SimoD
- 19Gueye LayeD
- 2Marwan HassanD
- 6O. TannaneM
- 8Ahmed FathiM
- 17J. VeretoutM
- 80I. LihadjiM
- 7Pablo SarabiaF
- 14M. OlungaF
Coach: C. Contra
Al Ahli Doha · 4-1-4-1
- 13Mohamed LinglizG
- 41Ahmed ReyedD
- 16R. TihiD
- 88A. AmraouiD
- 12Ghanem Al MinhaliD
- 33D. FettouhiM
- 5W. Troost-EkongM
- 27B. BourigeaudM
- 6Luiz CearáM
- 7J. DraxlerM
- 10Erik ExpósitoF
Coach: N. Jovović
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Arabi SC | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.8 | 1.9 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Arabi SC | 8 | +8 | 13 |
| 5 | Al Ahli Doha | 8 | -1 | 11 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Al Ahli Doha 1-1 Al-Arabi SC
- 2025 Al-Arabi SC 1-0 Al Ahli Doha
- 2025 Al-Arabi SC 4-2 Al Ahli Doha
- 2024 Al Ahli Doha 3-3 Al-Arabi SC
- 2024 Al-Arabi SC 1-0 Al Ahli Doha
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.88 – 1.50
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 71% · X2 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%Over 1.5: 86% · Over 3.5: 44%
- Both teams score
- 67%
- Clean sheet
- 22% – 15%Al-Arabi SC–Al Ahli Doha
- Half-time result
- 1 · 37%X 37% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 28%2/2 18% · X/1 14%
- Expected corners
- 11.05.3 – 5.7 · Over 9.5: 66%
- Expected cards
- 4.42.2 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 64%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A small gap, meaningful stakes
Fourth-placed Al-Arabi SC have 13 points, with Al Ahli Doha just behind in fifth on 11 after eight matches apiece. The two-point gap makes this a direct contest between close neighbours in the Stars League standings, with Al-Arabi also holding the stronger goal difference: +8 to Al Ahli’s -1.
Al-Arabi’s home record is a notable wrinkle. They have drawn all three of their league matches at home, scoring twice and conceding twice. Al Ahli, meanwhile, have taken one win, one draw and two defeats in four away matches, conceding nine goals.
Recent results point to different rhythms
Al-Arabi have two wins, two draws and a defeat in their last five league matches, scoring 11 and conceding five. Their most recent league outing ended in a draw. Overall, they have three wins, four draws and one defeat from eight matches, with 16 goals scored and eight conceded.
Al Ahli’s last five have brought two wins, a draw and two defeats, with nine goals scored and nine conceded. They come into this match after a win. Across the league campaign, they have three wins, two draws and three defeats, and have conceded 15 goals.
Al-Arabi hold the recent edge
Al-Arabi are unbeaten in the last five meetings, winning three and drawing two; Al Ahli have not won any of them. The latest encounter, in March 2026, finished 1-1 in Al Ahli’s favour as the home side on the day. Three of those five meetings featured two goals or fewer, although Al-Arabi also recorded a 4-2 win in February 2025.
Players to watch: the attacking output
Al-Arabi’s 11 goals across their last five league matches make their recent scoring a key factor, particularly against an Al Ahli side that has conceded nine in its four away league games. Al Ahli have also scored nine times in their last five, so their threat remains relevant despite the defensive record on the road.
Our prediction
Al-Arabi’s stronger recent goal difference and unbeaten run in this matchup give them the edge, though their three home league games have all ended level. Al Ahli’s away defensive record could offer the hosts opportunities, but the visitors have also shown they can score.
Al-Arabi SC 2-1 Al Ahli Doha

