Stars League · Matchday 9 
Our pick Home win Correct result
Qatar SC target a climb as Lusail City seek home momentum
Qatar SC are four places and three points behind Lusail City ahead of their Stars League meeting. Both sides have the same record across their last five league matches, but Qatar SC have conceded more.
📍 Lusail Stadium
Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Lusail City 3-2 Qatar SC.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 7–12; Shots on target: 5–4; Corners: 0–4; Expected goals: 2.12–1.83.
Goals
- 18' Rodrigo Machado (pen.) · Lusail City
- 38' Joao Pedro (pen.) · Qatar SC
- 52' Yohan Boli · Qatar SC
- 56' Khaled Mansour · Hamidreza Firouzi · Lusail City
- 86' Hamidreza Firouzi · Saud Jjbril · Lusail City
Cards
- 16' Ali Saoudi · Qatar SC
- 36' Naif Al-Hadhrami · Lusail City
- 40' Pau Prim · Qatar SC
- 79' Nasir Baksh · Qatar SC
- 89' Amin Pilali · Lusail City
- 90' Emanuel Mesquita · Lusail City
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: H. Firouzi (Lusail City) 8.1
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Lusail City · 4-1-4-1
- 1A. ShakouriG
- 2A. PilaliD
- 4F. RussoD
- 27M. AiashD
- 66A. NematiD
- 6O. EbrahimiM
- 14K. MansourM
- 20Naif Al HadhramiM
- 8Khaled MohammedM
- 70Mohamed KhaledM
- 19RodrigoF
Coach: Emanuel Mesquita
Qatar SC · 4-4-2
- 17A. N. MahmoudG
- 2Nasir BakshD
- 40S. F. DioufD
- 4A. SaoudiD
- 20Eisa PalangiD
- 14Said BrahmiM
- 6Pau PrimM
- 24N. MasonM
- 7F. SelemaniM
- 11Y. BoliF
- 9João PedroF
Coach: Tintín Márquez
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Lusail City | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Qatar SC | 1.1 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lusail City | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 8 | -9 | 6 |
Last meetings
- 2022 Lusail City 1-0 Qatar SC
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.39 – 1.19
- Double chance
- 12 · 71%1X 69% · X2 60%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 26%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 25%Lusail City–Qatar SC
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 31% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%X/X 18% · 2/2 18%
- Expected corners
- 9.04.2 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 40%
- Expected cards
- 5.32.3 – 3.0 · Over 3.5: 77%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Qatar SC’s chance to close the gap
Qatar SC head to Lusail City looking to climb the Stars League standings after taking six points from eight matches. They sit 11th, four places and three points behind seventh-placed Lusail City, who have nine points and a positive goal difference of one. Lusail have conceded nine goals overall, while Qatar SC have let in 18.
There is room for Qatar SC to make up ground, but Lusail City’s home record offers a hurdle: they have won once and drawn once in two home league matches, scoring four goals without conceding.
Similar recent records, different defensive numbers
Both teams have recorded a win, two draws and two defeats in their last five league matches. Lusail City scored three goals and conceded five over that run; Qatar SC scored five but conceded nine.
Lusail’s most recent league match was a win, while Qatar SC’s latest ended in defeat. Across eight league matches, Lusail have two wins, three draws and three defeats. Qatar SC have one win, three draws and four defeats, with 18 goals conceded.
One previous meeting
The sides have met once in the recorded head-to-head: Lusail City won 1-0 in the QFA Cup in April 2022. That remains Qatar SC’s only listed meeting with Lusail, and they will be seeking a different outcome in this league encounter.
Home resilience against Qatar SC’s defensive test
Lusail City have kept clean sheets in both of their home league matches, conceding none. That defensive record contrasts with Qatar SC’s overall tally of 18 goals against in eight games. Qatar SC have scored seven goals in six away league matches, so they have shown they can find the net on the road, but their away record also includes nine goals conceded.
The hosts’ ability to protect their goal at Lusail Stadium could be decisive, particularly after Qatar SC conceded nine times across their last five matches.
Our prediction
Lusail City’s unbeaten home league record and two clean sheets give them a platform, while Qatar SC’s defensive record makes the visitors vulnerable. PreviaXI’s model leans towards a narrow home win, with Lusail’s stronger defensive numbers pointing to a low-scoring result.
Lusail City 1-0 Qatar SC
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