Our pick Away win Missed
Willem II seek a way up as PEC Zwolle visit Tilburg
Willem II are looking to climb the Eredivisie standings after a run of six straight defeats. PEC Zwolle arrive unbeaten in three and nine points above their hosts.
📍 Koning Willem II Stadion
Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Willem II 1-1 PEC Zwolle.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 13–14; Shots on target: 5–2; Corners: 2–7; Expected goals: 0.78–0.82.
Goals
- 2' Sydney van Hooijdonk · PEC Zwolle
- 3' Hidde ter Avest · Willem II
Cards
- 69' Vito van Crooy · Willem II
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: S. van Hooijdonk (PEC Zwolle) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Willem II · 4-2-3-1
- 26M. DelangheG
- 5H. ter AvestD
- 3F. StamD
- 23M. DekkerD
- 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
- 18Anass ZarroukM
- 6C. TwigtM
- 52T. VilhenaM
- 19Uriel van AalstM
- 32V. van CrooijM
- 9D. HaenF
Coach: J. Streppel
PEC Zwolle · 4-2-3-1
- 1J. SchendelaarG
- 3O. AertssenD
- 4T. VelthuisD
- 24N. ViergeverD
- 33D. van der HaarD
- 30R. ThomasM
- 8T. SommerM
- 37Gilles van der WalM
- 7Y. NamliM
- 11D. MbayoM
- 17S. van HooijdonkF
Coach: D. van der Ree
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Willem II | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.1 | 2.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | -29 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2025 Willem II 1-2 PEC Zwolle
- 2024 PEC Zwolle 0-1 Willem II
- 2023 Willem II 2-3 PEC Zwolle
- 2022 PEC Zwolle 2-2 Willem II
- 2022 PEC Zwolle 2-0 Willem II
Absences
Willem II
- Out J. Hoogma · Knee Injury
- Out A. Lachkar · Groin Injury
PEC Zwolle
- Out S. Floranus · Injury
- Out F. Krastev · Achilles Tendon Injury
- Out G. Rahajaan · Inactive
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.53 – 1.70
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 59% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 40%
- Both teams score
- 65%
- Clean sheet
- 18% – 22%Willem II–PEC Zwolle
- Half-time result
- X · 38%1 29% · 2 33%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 25%1/1 20% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.66.1 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 61%
- Expected cards
- 2.71.2 – 1.5 · Over 3.5: 29%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Willem II need a change in direction
Willem II go into Friday’s Eredivisie meeting on a six-match losing streak and without a win in eleven league games. With 2 points from 11 matches, they sit 18th in the 18-team table and will be looking to start climbing the standings at home to PEC Zwolle.
The visitors are 14th on 11 points, four places and nine points above Willem II. That gap makes this a significant opportunity for the hosts to gain ground, but PEC Zwolle have recently shown greater consistency.
A difficult run against a steadier visitor
Willem II have lost their last five league matches, scoring four goals and conceding 20. Across 11 games, they have two draws and nine defeats, with 10 goals scored and 39 conceded. Their home record is also a concern: one draw and four defeats in five matches, with no clean sheets.
PEC Zwolle’s recent run is more encouraging. They are unbeaten in three and their last five league games brought two wins, a draw and two defeats, with six goals scored and six conceded. Overall, they have three wins and two draws from 11 matches. Away from home, they have taken one win and two draws in five outings.
PEC Zwolle have had the edge
The last five meetings across competitions have produced three PEC Zwolle wins, one Willem II victory and one draw. Their most recent encounter, in May 2025, ended in a 2-1 PEC Zwolle win at Willem II. Two of those five meetings featured two goals or fewer.
Absences on both sides
Willem II are without J. Hoogma, who has a knee injury, and A. Lachkar, who is sidelined with a groin injury. PEC Zwolle have S. Floranus and F. Krastev unavailable through injury, while G. Rahajaan is inactive.
Goals and defensive resolve in focus
Willem II need to find a way to tighten a defence that has conceded 20 times in their last five league matches. Their four goals in that spell underline the challenge at both ends. PEC Zwolle have been more balanced lately, scoring and conceding six each across their last five, and will look to make that steadiness count.
Our prediction
PEC Zwolle’s unbeaten run and stronger league position give them the clearer platform, while Willem II’s recent defensive record is a concern. The hosts can still pose a threat, but the visitors look better placed to take advantage and extend their positive run.
Willem II 1-2 PEC Zwolle

