UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4 
Olympiakos’ winning run faces a Rennes test
Olympiakos Piraeus arrive in Rennes with three Europa League wins from three and just one goal conceded. Rennes have drawn twice in the competition, leaving the visitors with the stronger momentum.
📍 Roazhon Park
Preview written:
All League phase, matchday 4 matches
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 1.3 | 0.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | +1 | 5 |
Absences
Rennes
- OutE. Lepaul · Ankle Injury
- OutB. Samba · Thigh Injury
Olympiakos Piraeus
- OutClayton · Off the roster
- OutA. El Kaabi · Broken Leg
- OutM. Mouandilmadji · Off the roster
- OutB. Popovic · Off the roster
- OutJ. Roca · Off the roster
- OutL. Scipioni · Off the roster
- OutY. Yazici · Knee Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.05 – 1.29
- Double chance
- 12 · 71%1X 58% · X2 71%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 21%
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Clean sheet
- 27% – 35%Rennes–Olympiakos Piraeus
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 24% · 2 31%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 24%X/X 19% · 1/1 17%
- Expected corners
- 10.75.3 – 5.4 · Over 9.5: 62%
- Expected cards
- 4.21.7 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 59%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 0-112%
- 0-010%
- 1-09%
- 1-28%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Olympiakos Piraeus
- Power ratings: Rennes +1.27 goals per game (88th of 430 in Europe), Olympiakos Piraeus +1.21 (102nd).
- Rennes's attack (2.41 goals per game) meets Olympiakos Piraeus's defence (0.56 conceded per game).
- Olympiakos Piraeus's attack (1.77) meets Rennes's defence (1.14).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 21% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.05 – 1.29 goals: Rennes 29%, draw 29%, Olympiakos Piraeus 42%.
Rennes seek a response
Olympiakos Piraeus travel to Roazhon Park on Wednesday riding a three-match winning run in the Europa League. They have scored four goals and conceded only once across those three games, a record that puts them fifth with nine points. Rennes have five points from three matches and sit 13th, so the hosts need a result to close the gap on a visitor who have made a perfect start.
A resilient away challenge
Rennes have drawn two of their three Europa League fixtures, alongside one win. They have scored four goals and conceded three in the competition. Olympiakos, by contrast, have won all three, scoring four and allowing only one. The Greeks’ defensive record is especially striking: they have kept clean sheets in both of their away and home matches in this competition, with their third match also part of the unbeaten run.
Across their latest three matches, both teams have scored four goals. The difference has come at the back: Rennes have conceded three, while Olympiakos have let in one. That defensive edge gives the visitors a clear platform as they look to extend their winning streak.
No recent head-to-head
There is no recent head-to-head record to shape the build-up, leaving the teams’ contrasting starts in the competition as the clearest guide.
Absences on both sides
Rennes will be without E. Lepaul, who is sidelined with an ankle injury, and B. Samba, who has a thigh injury. Olympiakos are missing A. El Kaabi with a broken leg and Y. Yazici with a knee injury. Clayton, M. Mouandilmadji, B. Popovic, J. Roca and L. Scipioni are also unavailable, all off the roster.
Defensive edge could decide it
Olympiakos’ run has been built on balance: four goals scored and just one conceded in three Europa League matches. Rennes have shown they can score too, but their three goals conceded in the same number of fixtures leave them with less margin for error against a side yet to drop points.
Our prediction
Rennes’ home setting should make this a competitive contest, but Olympiakos’ three wins and stronger defensive record point to the visitors having the edge. PreviaXI’s model also favours Olympiakos, with the expected balance of chances leaning slightly towards the Greek side.
Rennes 0-1 Olympiakos Piraeus
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