Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Can Sevilla End Madrid's Hold Over Them?

Real Madrid have won all four of their home league games this season, and they have scored nine goals in their last five matches while conceding six. That consistency has kept them firmly in the race at the top of the table ahead of Sunday’s visit from Sevilla.

Two sides separated by four points

Real Madrid sit fourth with 18 points from eight league games, while Sevilla are fifth on 14. The gap is wider than the table suggests on the surface: Madrid’s goal difference of +11 compares with Sevilla’s +1, which tells the story of a side that has been far more ruthless in front of goal.

Madrid’s home solidity, Sevilla’s away resilience

Madrid have won six of their eight league matches and lost only two, both of them away from home. Their recent league run reads win, loss, win, win, loss. Sevilla have a more mixed picture: two wins, a draw, a defeat and then two more results in their last five, but they have yet to lose on the road this season, collecting two wins and two draws in four away trips.

Five meetings, five Madrid wins

The recent head-to-head is one-sided. Real Madrid have beaten Sevilla in each of their last five La Liga meetings, scoring ten goals and conceding just two. Their most recent victory came in Seville in May, a 1-0 win that followed a 2-0 success at the same ground the previous year. Madrid have also won their last two trips to Sevilla.

Injury problems on both sides

Madrid will be without several key men. Rodrygo is out with a knee injury, Éder Militão with a hamstring problem, Raúl Asencio with a broken leg, and Vinícius Júnior is missing after a red card. Ferland Mendy is a doubt with a hip injury. Sevilla also have a lengthy list of absences, with Marcao and Jesús Guridi out through muscle injuries, Marko Sierra sidelined by a shoulder problem, and Ivan Romero missing after a red card. Gueorgui Kochorashvili is a doubt.

Our prediction

Real Madrid 2-0 Sevilla

Madrid’s depleted squad is a real concern, but their home form and the way they have dominated this fixture give them the edge. Sevilla have shown they can hold their own on the road, yet they have not managed to beat Madrid in five attempts. Expect the hosts to control the game and take the points.