Réal Bamako hold a two-goal edge as ES Zarzis face a must-win return

The last time these sides met, Réal Bamako beat ES Zarzis 3-1 in Zarzis on 17 October. Now the tie moves to Bamako on Saturday, and the CAF Confederation Cup second preliminary round is simple: the winner goes through, and the loser is out.

A three-goal mountain for Zarzis

Because Bamako took a 3-1 lead into this game, Zarzis need to win by at least three clear goals to progress. A two-goal win would only level the aggregate score, which is not enough. Bamako have far more room to breathe. They can even lose by a single goal and still go through, so they can play with patience instead of chasing the game from the first whistle.

Form

Bamako arrive unbeaten in their three games this season, with a win, a draw and a win. Their best work has come on the road: both of their victories were away from home, and they have scored five goals in those trips.

Zarzis have had a harder run. They have lost their last two matches and have yet to score away from home this season. Their only win came on their own ground, and they have conceded five goals in their last three games.

Our prediction

Bamako look the stronger side on this evidence. They have the cushion, they have been dangerous away from home, and Zarzis have not found the net on the road this season. Expect a tight, cautious match in Bamako, with Zarzis forced to push forward and Bamako looking to counter. A narrow home win looks the most likely outcome, with Zarzis unable to close the gap.

Réal Bamako 1-0 ES Zarzis