Our pick Home win Correct result
Orlando City and New England renew a goal-heavy rivalry
Their latest meeting ended 4-2 to New England, but Orlando have won three of the last five encounters. With both teams finding the net regularly in this matchup, another lively contest is in prospect.
📍 Exploria Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 34 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Orlando City SC 1-0 New England Revolution.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 15–9; Shots on target: 4–3; Corners: 5–8; Expected goals: 1.2–0.91.
Goals
- 45' Braian Ojeda · Orlando City SC
Cards
- 90+1' Maxime Crépeau · Orlando City SC
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: B. Ojeda (Orlando City SC) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Orlando City SC · 4-4-2
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 19Z. TaifiD
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 16W. CartagenaD
- 27Vinícius NogueiraD
- 87Marco PasalicM
- 8B. OjedaM
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 77I. AnguloM
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 10M. OjedaF
Coach: M. Perelman
New England Revolution · 4-3-3
- 30M. TurnerG
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 22E. KohlerD
- 2M. FofanaD
- 23W. SandsD
- 10Carles GilM
- 8M. PolsterM
- 14J. YueillM
- 41L. LangoniF
- 99D. TurgemanF
- 16D. GazdagF
Coach: M. Mićović
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| New England Revolution | 1.7 | 1.4 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | +9 | 58 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 33 | -16 | 43 |
Last meetings
- 2026 New England Revolution 4-2 Orlando City SC
- 2026 New England Revolution 3-4 Orlando City SC
- 2025 New England Revolution 1-2 Orlando City SC
- 2025 Orlando City SC 3-3 New England Revolution
- 2024 Orlando City SC 3-0 New England Revolution
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.92 – 1.63
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 68% · X2 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%Over 1.5: 87% · Over 3.5: 47%
- Both teams score
- 69%
- Clean sheet
- 20% – 15%Orlando City SC–New England Revolution
- Half-time result
- 1 · 36%X 35% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 28%2/2 20% · X/1 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.45.1 – 5.3 · Over 9.5: 58%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.0 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 56%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A rematch with playoff stakes
New England Revolution beat Orlando City SC 4-2 in September, the latest chapter in a run of high-scoring meetings between the sides. They meet again with New England third in the Eastern Conference on 58 points and Orlando ninth on 43, a 15-point gap after 33 matches apiece.
Orlando’s home platform, New England’s form
Orlando are without a win in three league matches and have taken one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Their home record offers a stronger foundation: nine wins in 16 league games, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded.
New England’s last five league matches have brought four wins and one defeat, with 10 goals scored and seven conceded. Their away record is balanced, with seven wins and seven defeats from 16 matches, and they have scored 24 goals on the road.
Both teams lost their most recent league match, so the September result is a reminder that New England can hurt Orlando—but not that the visitors have an easy task in Florida.
Recent meetings point to goals
Orlando have won three of the last five meetings across all competitions, with New England winning once and one match drawn. None of those five finished with two goals or fewer.
The sequence includes Orlando’s 4-3 win in the US Open Cup in April, a 3-3 league draw in May 2025 and their 2-1 league victory away to New England that July. The latest 4-2 result went the other way, but the pattern is clear: this fixture has regularly opened up.
Orlando’s attack against New England’s edge
Orlando have scored 62 league goals, compared with New England’s 55, and have been especially productive at home with 32 goals in 16 matches. The concern is at the other end: they have conceded 78 across the campaign.
New England arrive with the stronger overall record—18 wins and six clean sheets in 33 league matches—and have conceded 46. Their recent scoring and Orlando’s defensive record make another goal-filled game plausible, while the home side’s attacking output gives it a route to respond.
Our prediction
Orlando’s home scoring and the trend in recent meetings point to a competitive, open match. New England’s position and recent run make them dangerous, but Orlando’s home record gives the hosts a narrow edge.
Orlando City SC 2-1 New England Revolution

