Monterrey vs CF Pachuca: One Point Apart, One Clear Edge Sought

Pachuca have won four of their last five meetings with Monterrey, yet the two sides arrive at Estadio BBVA separated by a single point in a congested Apertura table.

A single point between two chasing sides

Monterrey sit 12th with 14 points from 10 matches, while CF Pachuca are 14th on 13 points from 11. Pachuca have a slightly better goal difference (+4 to Monterrey’s +2), and they have played one more game. In a league of 18 clubs, where the gap between the middle and the bottom is narrow, a win on Monday would open a meaningful gap for whichever side takes it.

Pachuca’s sharper edge

Monterrey have struggled to score recently, managing a single goal per game across their last five matches and conceding 1.6 on average. Pachuca have been more productive, averaging two goals scored and 1.2 conceded over the same stretch. Monterrey’s home form has been their strength this season, with three wins in five matches at Estadio BBVA and 11 goals scored there, but their attack has been less reliable when the team needs a breakthrough.

Pachuca’s grip on the rivalry

The recent history favours the visitors. Pachuca won the most recent meeting 3-1 in Monterrey in April, and they also won 3-0 in July 2025 and 2-1 in April 2025. Monterrey’s only victory across the last five encounters came in a 1-0 win at Pachuca in July 2024. Monterrey will need to break that pattern to change the momentum of the rivalry.

Our prediction

We expect a tight contest with the edge going to Pachuca, who have been the more potent side in recent meetings and in recent form. Monterrey will look to take advantage of their home ground, but their struggles in front of goal could prove costly. Our expected scoreline is Monterrey 1-2 CF Pachuca.