Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners: prediction, stats and form

A-League, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives Wellington Phoenix 55%, the draw 22% and Central Coast Mariners 23%, with 2-1 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Wellington Phoenix55%Draw22%Central Coast Mariners23%

Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals (xG): 2.06 – 1.30
Over 2.5 goals: 65%
Both teams score: 64%
Expected corners: 11.07.5 – 3.5 · Over 9.5: 66%
Expected cards: 3.11.3 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 36%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.

Match facts

Last matches · Wellington Phoenix

W Sun 18 Oct H Melbourne Victory 2-1
L Fri 24 Apr A Macarthur 0-4
W Sat 18 Apr H Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1
L Sun 12 Apr A Melbourne City 0-2
W Sun 5 Apr A Melbourne Victory 1-0
W Sat 21 Mar A Brisbane Roar 2-1

Last matches · Central Coast Mariners

D Sat 17 Oct H Newcastle Jets 2-2
L Sat 25 Apr A Newcastle Jets 0-4
W Sun 19 Apr A Auckland 1-0
D Fri 10 Apr H Brisbane Roar 2-2
L Tue 7 Apr A Melbourne City 1-2
D Sat 4 Apr H Perth Glory 2-2

Last 10 matches

	Wellington Phoenix	Central Coast Mariners
Scored	1.0	1.3
Conceded	1.6	1.8
Points per game	1.60	1.10
Over 2.5 goals	50%	70%
Both teams score	40%	70%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	40%	20%

Home and away record

	Wellington Phoenix (H)	Central Coast Mariners (A)
Scored	1.6	1.5
Conceded	1.9	2.0
Points per game	1.40	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	80%	90%
Both teams score	70%	60%
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Failed to score	20%	20%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
3/10	Wellington Phoenix	1	+1	3
4/10	Central Coast Mariners	1	0	1

Last meetings

2025Wellington Phoenix 3-1 Central Coast Mariners
2025Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Wellington Phoenix

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

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