Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction, stats and form

Serie A, Saturday 24 October. The PreviaXI model gives Vitoria 34%, the draw 28% and Atletico Paranaense 38%, with 0-1 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Vitoria34%Draw28%Atletico Paranaense38%

Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals (xG): 1.24 – 1.31
Over 2.5 goals: 47%
Both teams score: 53%
Expected corners: 9.75.2 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 50%
Expected cards: 4.82.5 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 69%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.

Match facts

Last matches · Vitoria

D Mon 19 Oct A Corinthians 1-1
L Sun 11 Oct A Sao Paulo 1-2
W Wed 7 Oct H Chapecoense-sc 4-0
L Sun 20 Sept H Cruzeiro 1-3
D Sun 13 Sept A Mirassol 2-2
W Mon 7 Sept H Gremio 1-0

Last matches · Atletico Paranaense

L Sat 17 Oct H Palmeiras 0-2
W Mon 12 Oct A Chapecoense-sc 4-1
D Thu 8 Oct H Atletico-MG 2-2
W Sun 20 Sept H Bahia 2-1
D Sat 12 Sept A Coritiba 3-3
L Sun 6 Sept A Cruzeiro 1-3

Last 10 matches

	Vitoria	Atletico Paranaense
Scored	1.2	2.1
Conceded	1.4	1.8
Points per game	1.10	1.60
Over 2.5 goals	50%	70%
Both teams score	50%	80%
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Failed to score	20%	10%

Home and away record

	Vitoria (H)	Atletico Paranaense (A)
Scored	1.4	1.7
Conceded	1.0	1.3
Points per game	1.90	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	40%	60%
Both teams score	20%	60%
Clean sheets	60%	20%
Failed to score	30%	30%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
13/20	Vitoria	31	-11	37
3/20	Atletico Paranaense	31	+12	53

Last meetings

2026Atletico Paranaense 3-1 Vitoria

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

All model predictions →