Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians: prediction, stats and form

Serie A, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives Vasco DA Gama 48%, the draw 28% and Corinthians 24%, with 1-0 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Vasco DA Gama48%Draw28%Corinthians24%

Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals (xG): 1.47 – 0.96
Over 2.5 goals: 44%
Both teams score: 48%
Expected corners: 9.35.5 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 45%
Expected cards: 5.02.6 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 72%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.

Match facts

Last matches · Vasco DA Gama

L Wed 21 Oct H Boca Juniors 1-3
L Sun 18 Oct A Sao Paulo 0-1
W Wed 14 Oct A Boca Juniors 1-0
D Sat 10 Oct H Remo 0-0
W Wed 7 Oct A Botafogo 2-1
W Sat 19 Sept H Coritiba 5-0

Last matches · Corinthians

D Mon 19 Oct H Vitoria 1-1
L Sun 11 Oct A Palmeiras 1-4
L Wed 7 Oct A Internacional 1-2
L Sun 20 Sept H Fluminense 1-3
L Thu 17 Sept H Estudiantes L.P. 0-1
L Sun 13 Sept A Flamengo 1-2

Last 10 matches

	Vasco DA Gama	Corinthians
Scored	1.3	0.8
Conceded	0.7	1.9
Points per game	1.70	0.20
Over 2.5 goals	40%	60%
Both teams score	30%	80%
Clean sheets	50%	0%
Failed to score	40%	20%

Home and away record

	Vasco DA Gama (H)	Corinthians (A)
Scored	1.3	1.2
Conceded	0.9	1.4
Points per game	1.50	1.00
Over 2.5 goals	40%	50%
Both teams score	30%	80%
Clean sheets	50%	20%
Failed to score	40%	10%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
15/20	Vasco DA Gama	30	-7	35
16/20	Corinthians	31	-7	33

Last meetings

2026Corinthians 1-0 Vasco DA Gama
2025Vasco DA Gama 2-3 Corinthians
2025Corinthians 3-0 Vasco DA Gama

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

All model predictions →