Eredivisie · Matchday 12 
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction, stats and form
Eredivisie, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Utrecht 39%, the draw 25% and NEC Nijmegen 36%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Utrecht39%Draw25%NEC Nijmegen36%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.64 – 1.58
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 64% · X2 61%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 40%
- Both teams score
- 65%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 19%Utrecht–NEC Nijmegen
- Half-time result
- X · 38%1 32% · 2 30%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 23%2/2 22% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 9.34.3 – 5.0 · Over 9.5: 46%
- Expected cards
- 3.61.7 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 46%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-18%
- 1-28%
- 2-27%
- 1-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Utrecht +0.10 goals per game (9th of 18 in Eredivisie), NEC Nijmegen +0.32 (6th).
- Utrecht's attack (1.60 goals per game) meets NEC Nijmegen's defence (1.54 conceded per game).
- NEC Nijmegen's attack (1.86) meets Utrecht's defence (1.50).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 18% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.64 – 1.58 goals: Utrecht 39%, draw 25%, NEC Nijmegen 36%.
Match facts
Last matches · Utrecht
- L Sun 1 Nov A Telstar 2-4
- D Sat 24 Oct H PEC Zwolle 1-1
- W Sun 18 Oct A Twente 2-1
- W Sun 11 Oct H Willem II 3-1
- L Sun 20 Sept A Feyenoord 0-5
- W Sun 13 Sept A Excelsior 2-1
Last matches · NEC Nijmegen
- L Sat 31 Oct A Heerenveen 0-1
- D Sun 25 Oct H Groningen 2-2
- W Thu 22 Oct A Dinamo Zagreb 4-2
- D Sun 18 Oct H Fortuna Sittard 2-2
- D Thu 15 Oct H Levski Sofia 1-1
- D Sat 10 Oct A Ajax 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Utrecht | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 2.9 | 2.0 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 90% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Utrecht (H) | NEC Nijmegen (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 50% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/18 | Utrecht | 11 | -12 | 12 |
| 13/18 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | -2 | 11 |
Last meetings
- 2026NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Utrecht
- 2025Utrecht 1-0 NEC Nijmegen
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.