Jupiler Pro League · Matchday 11 
Union St. Gilloise vs Genk: prediction, stats and form
Jupiler Pro League, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Union St. Gilloise 54%, the draw 25% and Genk 21%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Union St. Gilloise54%Draw25%Genk21%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.63 – 0.89
- Double chance
- 1X · 79%12 75% · X2 46%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 25%
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Clean sheet
- 41% – 20%Union St. Gilloise–Genk
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 39% · 2 18%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 34%X/1 18% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.35.7 – 3.6 · Over 9.5: 45%
- Expected cards
- 4.32.0 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 60%
- Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-112%
- 2-011%
- 2-110%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Union St. Gilloise
- Power ratings: Union St. Gilloise +0.92 goals per game (2nd of 18 in Jupiler Pro League), Genk +0.43 (4th).
- Union St. Gilloise's attack (1.80 goals per game) meets Genk's defence (1.21 conceded per game).
- Genk's attack (1.64) meets Union St. Gilloise's defence (0.88).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 21% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.63 – 0.89 goals: Union St. Gilloise 54%, draw 25%, Genk 21%.
Match facts
Last matches · Union St. Gilloise
- W Sat 31 Oct A SK Beveren 2-1
- W Sun 25 Oct H Cercle Brugge 5-2
- W Thu 22 Oct H Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0
- D Thu 15 Oct H Real Sociedad 1-1
- D Sun 11 Oct H OH Leuven 1-1
- W Sun 20 Sept A Antwerp 2-0
Last matches · Genk
- L Sat 31 Oct A KV Mechelen 0-1
- W Sun 25 Oct H Standard Liege 2-1
- W Sat 10 Oct H Kortrijk 3-0
- L Sun 20 Sept A Club Brugge KV 0-3
- D Sun 13 Sept H Gent 1-1
- D Sun 6 Sept A Anderlecht 0-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Union St. Gilloise | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Union St. Gilloise (H) | Genk (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 60% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/18 | Union St. Gilloise | 10 | +22 | 26 |
| 6/18 | Genk | 10 | +4 | 15 |
Last meetings
- 2026Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Genk
- 2025Genk 1-2 Union St. Gilloise
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.