Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14

01:00 Tuesday 27 October Doha time

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.: prediction, stats and form

Liga Profesional Argentina, Tuesday 27 October. The PreviaXI model gives Union Santa Fe 35%, the draw 31% and Estudiantes L.P. 34%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

All Clausura, matchday 14 matches Full head-to-head

PreviaXI model

Union Santa Fe35%Draw31%Estudiantes L.P.34%

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.13 – 1.12
Double chance: 12 · 69%1X 66% · X2 65%
Over 2.5 goals: 39%Over 1.5: 67% · Over 3.5: 19%
Both teams score: 47%
Clean sheet: 33% – 32%Union Santa Fe–Estudiantes L.P.
Half-time result: X · 47%1 27% · 2 26%
Half-time / full-time: X/X · 21%1/1 20% · 2/2 20%
Expected corners: 8.65.2 – 3.4 · Over 9.5: 37%
Expected cards: 5.62.3 – 3.3 · Over 3.5: 81%
Most likely scores: 1-114%
0-012%
1-011%
0-111%
2-18%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model sees a close match

Power ratings: Union Santa Fe +0.03 goals per game (17th of 30 in Liga Profesional Argentina), Estudiantes L.P. +0.29 (5th).
Union Santa Fe's attack (1.17 goals per game) meets Estudiantes L.P.'s defence (0.91 conceded per game).
Estudiantes L.P.'s attack (1.20) meets Union Santa Fe's defence (1.14).
Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
Put together, the model expects 1.13 – 1.12 goals: Union Santa Fe 35%, draw 31%, Estudiantes L.P. 34%.

Power ratings: Liga Profesional Argentina →

Chance to score

Union Santa Fe

C. Tarragona14 goals in 30 games30%
L. Menossi4 goals in 16 games15%
M. Estigarribia5 goals in 29 games12%

Estudiantes L.P.

T. Palacios7 goals in 29 games19%
G. Carrillo6 goals in 35 games15%
A. Castro6 goals in 38 games13%

Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.

Trends

6 of Union Santa Fe’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Estudiantes L.P. have not won in their last 6 away matches.
Both teams scored in 6 of Union Santa Fe’s last 8 matches.
Union Santa Fe have not won in their last 5 matches.

Season stats

·	Union Santa Fe		Estudiantes L.P.
·	All	Home	All	Away
Won-drawn-lost	10-8-13	6-4-4	13-6-11	4-4-6
Goals scored per game	1.42	1.57	1.17	0.79
Goals conceded per game	1.45	1.07	0.77	0.93
xG per game	1.13	1.32	1.58	1.33
xG against per game	1.05	0.85	1.28	1.69
Scored in	71%	79%	57%	50%
Clean sheets	16%	36%	43%	36%
Failed to score	29%	21%	43%	50%
Both teams scored	61%	57%	27%	29%
Over 1.5 goals	84%	79%	57%	57%
Over 2.5 goals	58%	50%	37%	21%
Over 3.5 goals	29%	29%	10%	7%
Shots per game	17.5	21.5	13.4	11.8
Shots on target per game	5.4	6.4	4.9	4.4
Shots on target	31%	30%	37%	37%
Possession	50%	57%	54%	53%
Passes per game	375.4	411.6	399.4	389.9
Pass accuracy	74%	79%	80%	80%
Corners per game	4.6	5.5	4.1	3.2
Corners against per game	4.0	2.9	4.3	4.6
Cards per game	2.4	2.3	2.8	3.2
Fouls per game	11.7	10.9	12.2	13.0

League matches this season (Liga Profesional Argentina). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.

When goals come

Union Santa Fe

0-156 / 2
16-307 / 3
31-455 / 9
46-608 / 12
61-7510 / 7
76-90+9 / 11

Usual formation: 4-4-2

Estudiantes L.P.

0-152 / 3
16-304 / 2
31-454 / 8
46-608 / 2
61-755 / 2
76-90+12 / 6

Usual formation: 4-2-3-1

Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Apertura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Recent form
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	LDWLW
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	WDWWW
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	WLDWD
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	LLDLL
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	DDLWD
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	DWWDW
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	WWLLD
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	DLLLL
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	WDWWW
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	WLWWD
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	LLWLD
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	WLDDL
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	LDDDL
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	WLDWD
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	DLDDL

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Recent form
1	Instituto Cordoba	13	9	2	2	20:10	+10	29	WDWWW
2	Defensa Y Justicia	14	8	3	3	20:13	+7	27	WLWWD
3	Boca Juniors	13	6	6	1	21:14	+7	24	WDWWW
4	Lanus	14	7	3	4	17:10	+7	24	DWWDW
5	Velez Sarsfield	13	6	6	1	18:13	+5	24	WLDWD
6	Newells Old Boys	13	5	5	3	13:10	+3	20	WLDWD
7	Gimnasia M.	14	6	2	6	16:15	+1	20	LLWLD
8	Independiente	13	5	4	4	12:13	-1	19	DDLWD
9	San Lorenzo	13	5	2	6	7:12	-5	17	WWLLD
10	Estudiantes L.P.	13	4	2	7	16:15	+1	14	LDWLW
11	Union Santa Fe	13	4	2	7	18:22	-4	14	DLLLL
12	Platense	14	3	5	6	14:20	-6	14	WLDDL
13	Deportivo Riestra	13	2	6	5	10:13	-3	12	DLDDL
14	Central Cordoba de Santiago	13	2	4	7	11:18	-7	10	LDDDL
15	Talleres Cordoba	14	2	3	9	13:22	-9	9	LLDLL

Next matches

Union Santa Fe

Mon 2 NovNewells Old Boys – Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
Mon 9 NovUnion Santa Fe – Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina

Estudiantes L.P.

Sun 1 NovEstudiantes L.P. – Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Mon 9 NovTalleres Cordoba – Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina

Head-to-head: last 10 meetings

Union Santa Fe 3 wins · 1 draws · Estudiantes L.P. 6 wins

11/04/2026Estudiantes L.P.2-1Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
15/07/2025Union Santa Fe1-0Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
25/01/2025Estudiantes L.P.3-1Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
21/07/2024Estudiantes L.P.0-0Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
02/02/2024Union Santa Fe0-1Estudiantes L.P.Copa de la Liga Profesional
26/08/2023Estudiantes L.P.1-3Union Santa FeCopa de la Liga Profesional
03/03/2023Union Santa Fe2-0Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
22/08/2022Estudiantes L.P.1-0Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
15/09/2021Union Santa Fe0-2Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
01/02/2020Estudiantes L.P.3-1Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina

Match facts

Last matches · Union Santa Fe

D Tue 20 Oct A Deportivo Riestra 1-1
L Sat 10 Oct H Defensa Y Justicia 0-2
L Sat 3 Oct A Boca Juniors 0-3
L Sat 19 Sept H Independiente 1-2
L Sat 12 Sept A Talleres Cordoba 1-2
W Tue 8 Sept H Instituto Cordoba 3-2

Last matches · Estudiantes L.P.

L Sun 18 Oct H San Lorenzo 1-2
D Sat 10 Oct A Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-2
W Mon 5 Oct H Gimnasia M. 3-0
L Tue 22 Sept A Lanus 1-2
W Sat 12 Sept H Platense 2-1
L Sun 6 Sept A Velez Sarsfield 0-1

Last 10 matches

·	Union Santa Fe	Estudiantes L.P.
Scored	1.4	1.3
Conceded	1.7	1.2
Points per game	1.00	1.10
Over 2.5 goals	70%	60%
Both teams score	70%	40%
Clean sheets	0%	30%
Failed to score	30%	40%

Home and away record

·	Union Santa Fe (H)	Estudiantes L.P. (A)
Scored	1.7	0.8
Conceded	1.5	1.2
Points per game	1.40	1.00
Over 2.5 goals	60%	30%
Both teams score	80%	30%
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Failed to score	10%	50%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

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Liga Profesional Argentina table All model predictions