Eredivisie · Matchday 12 
Twente vs Ajax: prediction, stats and form
Eredivisie, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Twente 52%, the draw 25% and Ajax 23%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Twente52%Draw25%Ajax23%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.79 – 1.14
- Double chance
- 1X · 77%12 75% · X2 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 34%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Clean sheet
- 32% – 17%Twente–Ajax
- Half-time result
- X · 40%1 39% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 32%X/1 16% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.55.8 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 48%
- Expected cards
- 3.51.2 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 45%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 1-08%
- 0-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Twente
- Power ratings: Twente +1.02 goals per game (3rd of 18 in Eredivisie), Ajax +0.60 (4th).
- Twente's attack (2.09 goals per game) meets Ajax's defence (1.28 conceded per game).
- Ajax's attack (1.88) meets Twente's defence (1.07).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 18% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.79 – 1.14 goals: Twente 52%, draw 25%, Ajax 23%.
Match facts
Last matches · Twente
- W Sun 1 Nov A Excelsior 9-0
- W Sun 25 Oct A AZ Alkmaar 2-0
- W Thu 22 Oct A Lincoln Red Imps FC 4-1
- L Sun 18 Oct H Utrecht 1-2
- W Thu 15 Oct H FC Thun 1-0
- D Sat 10 Oct A Fortuna Sittard 1-1
Last matches · Ajax
- W Sat 31 Oct H AZ Alkmaar 1-0
- W Sun 25 Oct A Sparta Rotterdam 2-1
- W Thu 22 Oct H Atalanta 2-0
- W Sun 18 Oct A Groningen 5-2
- L Thu 15 Oct A HNK Hajduk Split 1-2
- D Sat 10 Oct H NEC Nijmegen 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Twente | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | Twente (H) | Ajax (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/18 | Twente | 11 | +18 | 23 |
| 2/18 | Ajax | 11 | +17 | 24 |
Last meetings
- 2026Ajax 1-2 Twente
- 2025Twente 2-3 Ajax
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.