Serie A · Matchday 11 
Torino vs Lecce: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Torino 50%, the draw 24% and Lecce 26%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Torino50%Draw24%Lecce26%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.56 – 1.04
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 74% · X2 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 26%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 35% – 21%Torino–Lecce
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 37% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 30%X/1 17% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 8.64.6 – 4.0 · Over 9.5: 37%
- Expected cards
- 2.81.3 – 1.5 · Over 3.5: 32%
- Most likely scores
- 1-012%
- 1-112%
- 2-19%
- 2-09%
- 0-18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Torino
- Power ratings: Torino -0.26 goals per game (15th of 20 in Serie A), Lecce -0.60 (19th).
- Torino's attack (1.24 goals per game) meets Lecce's defence (1.59 conceded per game).
- Lecce's attack (0.99) meets Torino's defence (1.50).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 13% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.56 – 1.04 goals: Torino 50%, draw 24%, Lecce 26%.
Match facts
Last matches · Torino
- L Sun 1 Nov A Frosinone 0-2
- L Tue 27 Oct H Como 1-3
- W Fri 23 Oct H Monza 3-2
- W Mon 19 Oct A Parma 3-0
- W Mon 12 Oct H Udinese 2-1
- D Sat 19 Sept A Bologna 1-1
Last matches · Lecce
- L Sun 1 Nov H Genoa 1-2
- L Thu 29 Oct A Frosinone 1-5
- L Sun 25 Oct H Juventus 0-2
- W Sun 18 Oct A Udinese 3-0
- L Sun 11 Oct H Bologna 1-2
- L Sun 20 Sept A AC Milan 0-3
Last 10 matches
| · | Torino | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% |
Home and away record
| · | Torino (H) | Lecce (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 50% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20 | Torino | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 14/20 | Lecce | 10 | -10 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026Torino 1-0 Lecce
- 2025Lecce 2-1 Torino
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.