Premier League · Matchday 10 
Sunderland vs Chelsea: prediction, stats and form
Premier League, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Sunderland 31%, the draw 27% and Chelsea 42%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Sunderland31%Draw27%Chelsea42%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.29 – 1.55
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 58% · X2 69%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 32%
- Both teams score
- 59%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 27%Sunderland–Chelsea
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 26% · 2 33%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 25%1/1 18% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.44.1 – 5.3 · Over 9.5: 46%
- Expected cards
- 5.02.3 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 74%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-29%
- 0-18%
- 2-18%
- 0-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Chelsea
- Power ratings: Sunderland -0.26 goals per game (18th of 20 in Premier League), Chelsea +0.28 (7th).
- Sunderland's attack (1.18 goals per game) meets Chelsea's defence (1.40 conceded per game).
- Chelsea's attack (1.68) meets Sunderland's defence (1.44).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.29 – 1.55 goals: Sunderland 31%, draw 27%, Chelsea 42%.
Match facts
Last matches · Sunderland
- L Sat 31 Oct A Coventry 1-3
- W Wed 28 Oct H Brentford 3-2
- D Sun 25 Oct H Leeds 0-0
- D Thu 22 Oct A Lech Poznan 1-1
- L Sun 18 Oct A Bournemouth 0-2
- W Thu 15 Oct A Torreense 2-1
Last matches · Chelsea
- W Sat 31 Oct H Manchester United 2-0
- D Wed 28 Oct A Liverpool 1-1
- L Sat 24 Oct H Tottenham 0-2
- W Sat 17 Oct A Everton 2-0
- W Sat 10 Oct H Bournemouth 5-1
- L Fri 18 Sept A Brentford 0-3
Last 10 matches
| · | Sunderland | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Conceded | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Sunderland (H) | Chelsea (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/20 | Sunderland | 9 | -10 | 5 |
| 4/20 | Chelsea | 9 | +4 | 16 |
Last meetings
- 2026Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea
- 2025Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.