Nigeria · NPFL · Matchday 12 
Sporting Lagos vs Rivers United: prediction, stats and form
Nigeria · NPFL, Tuesday 10 November. The PreviaXI model gives Sporting Lagos 49%, the draw 29% and Rivers United 22%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.36 – 0.81
- Double chance
- 1X · 78%12 71% · X2 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37%Over 1.5: 65% · Over 3.5: 18%
- Both teams score
- 42%
- Clean sheet
- 44% – 26%Sporting Lagos–Rivers United
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 35% · 2 18%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 29%X/X 20% · X/1 18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Sporting Lagos
- Expected goals favour Sporting Lagos: 1.36 – 0.81.
- The model gives Sporting Lagos a 44% chance of a clean sheet.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 51%, led by a draw at 29%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · Sporting Lagos
- L Sun 1 Nov A Katsina United 1-2
- W Sun 18 Oct A Plateau United 3-2
- W Sun 11 Oct H Bendel Insurance 2-1
- D Sat 3 Oct A Kano Pillars 1-1
- D Wed 30 Sept H Ikorodu City 0-0
- D Sat 26 Sept H Barau FC 1-1
Last matches · Rivers United
- D Sun 1 Nov H Enugu Rangers 1-1
- L Sun 25 Oct A Bendel Insurance 1-2
- D Sun 18 Oct H Barau FC 0-0
- D Sun 11 Oct A Abia Warriors 0-0
- W Sun 4 Oct H Ikorodu City 2-0
- D Wed 30 Sept A Katsina United 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Sporting Lagos | Rivers United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 20% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Sporting Lagos (H) | Rivers United (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.25 | 0.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/20 | Sporting Lagos | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 6/20 | Rivers United | 11 | +10 | 18 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.