Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax: prediction, stats and form

Eredivisie, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives Sparta Rotterdam 26%, the draw 25% and Ajax 49%, with 1-2 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Sparta Rotterdam26%Draw25%Ajax49%

Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals (xG): 1.33 – 1.87
Over 2.5 goals: 62%
Both teams score: 63%
Expected corners: 10.94.9 – 6.0 · Over 9.5: 64%
Expected cards: 4.01.7 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 55%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.

Match facts

Last matches · Sparta Rotterdam

W Sat 17 Oct H Willem II 3-2
D Sat 10 Oct A GO Ahead Eagles 3-3
L Sat 19 Sept H Heerenveen 0-4
L Sun 13 Sept A PSV Eindhoven 1-4
D Fri 4 Sept H PEC Zwolle 2-2
L Sat 29 Aug A Excelsior 1-2

Last matches · Ajax

W Sun 18 Oct A Groningen 5-2
L Thu 15 Oct A HNK Hajduk Split 1-2
D Sat 10 Oct H NEC Nijmegen 1-1
D Sat 19 Sept H Excelsior 2-2
W Tue 15 Sept H Willem II 5-1
W Sat 12 Sept A Fortuna Sittard 5-1

Last 10 matches

	Sparta Rotterdam	Ajax
Scored	1.8	3.3
Conceded	2.5	1.7
Points per game	0.90	2.00
Over 2.5 goals	90%	90%
Both teams score	80%	90%
Clean sheets	0%	10%
Failed to score	20%	0%

Home and away record

	Sparta Rotterdam (H)	Ajax (A)
Scored	1.5	2.9
Conceded	2.0	1.0
Points per game	1.00	2.30
Over 2.5 goals	60%	70%
Both teams score	60%	60%
Clean sheets	10%	40%
Failed to score	30%	10%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
13/18	Sparta Rotterdam	9	-6	9
4/18	Ajax	9	+15	18

Last meetings

2026Ajax 4-0 Sparta Rotterdam
2025Sparta Rotterdam 3-3 Ajax

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

All model predictions →