Serie A · Matchday 9 
Sassuolo vs Lazio: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Tuesday 27 October. The PreviaXI model gives Sassuolo 36%, the draw 26% and Lazio 38%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.21 – 1.25
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 62% · X2 64%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 70% · Over 3.5: 24%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 30%Sassuolo–Lazio
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 28% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%1/1 21% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 8.74.4 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 37%
- Expected cards
- 4.92.5 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 72%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-111%
- 1-011%
- 0-08%
- 1-28%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Sassuolo -0.17 goals per game (12th of 20 in Serie A), Lazio +0.05 (8th).
- Sassuolo's attack (1.26 goals per game) meets Lazio's defence (1.18 conceded per game).
- Lazio's attack (1.23) meets Sassuolo's defence (1.43).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 15% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.21 – 1.25 goals: Sassuolo 36%, draw 26%, Lazio 38%.
Absences
Sassuolo
- OutI. Koné · Broken Leg
- OutE. Pieragnolo · Jumpers Knee
- OutFali Candé · Jumpers Knee
- OutD. Boloca · Muscle Bruise
- OutY. Paz · Jumpers Knee
Lazio
- OutPatric · Sprained Ankle
- OutA. Furlanetto · Jumpers Knee
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
Sassuolo
- Vasilije Adžić4 goals in 7 games20%
- C. Odenthal2 goals in 5 games15%
- C. Volpato2 goals in 6 games12%
Lazio
- D. Frattesi3 goals in 8 games17%
- T. Noslin2 goals in 7 games11%
- G. Isaksen2 goals in 7 games11%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- Lazio have won their last 4 matches.
- Lazio have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Sassuolo’s last 8 matches.
- 6 of Sassuolo’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Season stats
| · | Sassuolo | Lazio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-4 | 2-1-0 | 7-1-0 | 4-0-0 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.50 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.33 | 0.62 | 0.25 |
| xG per game | 1.50 | 1.35 | 1.49 | 1.16 |
| xG against per game | 1.45 | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| Scored in | 88% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 50% | 75% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 88% | 100% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 67% | 62% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 33% | 25% | 0% |
| Shots per game | 14.6 | 13.0 | 13.9 | 12.5 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.6 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| Shots on target | 38% | 44% | 30% | 28% |
| Possession | 47% | 43% | 51% | 49% |
| Passes per game | 453.1 | 431.7 | 473.5 | 436.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 85% | 85% |
| Corners per game | 4.2 | 3.3 | 5.5 | 5.8 |
| Corners against per game | 6.2 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 5.5 |
| Cards per game | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Fouls per game | 9.8 | 11.0 | 11.4 | 10.8 |
League matches this season (Serie A). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Sassuolo
- 0-151 / 2
- 16-301 / 2
- 31-452 / 1
- 46-602 / 3
- 61-752 / 3
- 76-90+4 / 3
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Lazio
- 0-152 / 0
- 16-302 / 0
- 31-452 / 0
- 46-603 / 2
- 61-752 / 2
- 76-90+3 / 0
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Serie A table
Next matches
Sassuolo
- Mon 2 NovSassuolo – FiorentinaSerie A
- Sat 7 NovAS Roma – SassuoloSerie A
- Sun 22 NovSassuolo – GenoaSerie A
Lazio
- Sun 1 NovLazio – CagliariSerie A
- Sun 8 NovNapoli – LazioSerie A
- Sat 21 NovLazio – LecceSerie A
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Sassuolo 3 wins · 2 draws · Lazio 5 wins
- 09/03/2026Lazio2-1SassuoloSerie A
- 14/09/2025Sassuolo1-0LazioSerie A
- 26/05/2024Lazio1-1SassuoloSerie A
- 21/10/2023Sassuolo0-2LazioSerie A
- 03/05/2023Lazio2-0SassuoloSerie A
- 15/01/2023Sassuolo0-2LazioSerie A
- 02/04/2022Lazio2-1SassuoloSerie A
- 12/12/2021Sassuolo2-1LazioSerie A
- 14/08/2021Lazio1-1SassuoloFriendlies Clubs
- 23/05/2021Sassuolo2-0LazioSerie A
Match facts
Last matches · Sassuolo
- L Sat 24 Oct A Como 0-2
- L Fri 16 Oct A Frosinone 2-4
- D Sun 11 Oct H AC Milan 1-1
- L Fri 18 Sept A Monza 1-2
- W Sun 13 Sept H Juventus 3-2
- D Sun 6 Sept A Bologna 2-2
Last matches · Lazio
- W Sat 24 Oct H Parma 2-1
- W Sun 18 Oct A Juventus 3-0
- W Sun 11 Oct H Monza 3-1
- W Sat 19 Sept A Venezia 2-0
- D Sat 12 Sept H AC Milan 2-2
- W Mon 7 Sept A Udinese 2-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Sassuolo | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Sassuolo (H) | Lazio (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 30% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.