San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City: prediction, stats and form
Major League Soccer, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives San Diego 67%, the draw 18% and Sporting Kansas City 15%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
San Diego67%Draw18%Sporting Kansas City15%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.51 – 1.14
- Double chance
- 1X · 85%12 82% · X2 33%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%Over 1.5: 88% · Over 3.5: 50%
- Both teams score
- 63%
- Clean sheet
- 32% – 8%San Diego–Sporting Kansas City
- Half-time result
- 1 · 51%X 32% · 2 17%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 45%X/1 18% · X/X 9%
- Expected corners
- 9.16.0 – 3.1 · Over 9.5: 42%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.8 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 60%
- Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 2-08%
- 3-18%
- 1-18%
- 3-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards San Diego
- Power ratings: San Diego +0.06 goals per game (13th of 30 in Major League Soccer), Sporting Kansas City -0.83 (30th).
- San Diego's attack (1.68 goals per game) meets Sporting Kansas City's defence (2.07 conceded per game).
- Sporting Kansas City's attack (1.24) meets San Diego's defence (1.62).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.51 – 1.14 goals: San Diego 67%, draw 18%, Sporting Kansas City 15%.
Match facts
Last matches · San Diego
- W Sat 31 Oct A St. Louis City 1-0
- L Thu 29 Oct A Vancouver Whitecaps 1-4
- D Sun 25 Oct H Seattle Sounders 2-2
- D Sun 18 Oct A Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2
- D Thu 15 Oct H Houston Dynamo 3-3
- L Sat 10 Oct A New York Red Bulls 1-4
Last matches · Sporting Kansas City
- D Sat 31 Oct H FC Dallas 1-1
- L Thu 29 Oct A Minnesota United FC 1-3
- L Sun 25 Oct H Austin 1-2
- L Sun 18 Oct H Real Salt Lake 1-3
- L Thu 15 Oct A Nashville SC 0-4
- D Sun 11 Oct H Portland Timbers 3-3
Last 10 matches
| · | San Diego | Sporting Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | San Diego (H) | Sporting Kansas City (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/30 | San Diego | 33 | -5 | 38 |
| 30/30 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | -42 | 23 |
Last meetings
- 2026Sporting Kansas City 0-1 San Diego
- 2025Sporting Kansas City 0-2 San Diego
- 2025San Diego 0-0 Sporting Kansas City
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

