CONCACAF Nations League · Play-In Final 
Saint Martin vs El Salvador: prediction, stats and form
CONCACAF Nations League, Saturday 14 November. The PreviaXI model gives Saint Martin 79%, the draw 11% and El Salvador 10%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 3.32 – 1.17
- Double chance
- 1X · 90%12 89% · X2 21%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 82%Over 1.5: 93% · Over 3.5: 66%
- Both teams score
- 66%
- Clean sheet
- 31% – 4%Saint Martin–El Salvador
- Half-time result
- 1 · 61%X 26% · 2 13%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 57%X/1 17% · X/X 5%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Saint Martin
- Expected goals favour Saint Martin: 3.32 – 1.17.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 21%, led by a draw at 11%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · Saint Martin
- W Tue 6 Oct H Bahamas 6-0
- W Thu 1 Oct A US Virgin Islands 5-0
- L Sat 26 Sept H US Virgin Islands 0-2
- W Wed 23 Sept A Bahamas 8-0
- W Mon 18 Nov A Grenada 3-0
- L Fri 15 Nov H Curaçao 0-5
Last matches · El Salvador
- D Mon 5 Oct A Martinique 1-1
- L Sat 3 Oct H Jamaica 0-2
- L Tue 29 Sept A Guatemala 0-6
- W Sat 26 Sept H Martinique 3-1
- W Mon 18 Nov H Montserrat 1-0
- W Fri 15 Nov A Bonaire 1-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Saint Martin | El Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 10% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Saint Martin (H) | El Salvador (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.