Phoenix Rising vs Lexington: prediction, stats and form

United States · USL Championship, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives Phoenix Rising 41%, the draw 24% and Lexington 35%, with 2-1 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Phoenix Rising41%Draw24%Lexington35%

Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals (xG): 1.66 – 1.54
Over 2.5 goals: 62%
Both teams score: 64%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.How our model works →

Match facts

Last matches · Phoenix Rising

W Sun 18 Oct A Orange County SC 3-1
W Sun 11 Oct H Las Vegas Lights 3-2
L Sun 4 Oct A New Mexico United 1-2
L Sun 27 Sept A Oakland Roots 0-3
L Sun 20 Sept H El Paso Locomotive 1-3
W Sun 13 Sept H FC Tulsa 2-1

Last matches · Lexington

W Sun 18 Oct A Las Vegas Lights 5-3
D Fri 9 Oct H FC Tulsa 0-0
W Sat 3 Oct H El Paso Locomotive 3-1
W Sun 27 Sept A Monterey Bay 3-2
W Sat 19 Sept H Orange County SC 6-0
W Sun 13 Sept A Oakland Roots 4-1

Last 10 matches

	Phoenix Rising	Lexington
Scored	1.8	2.6
Conceded	1.7	1.3
Points per game	1.70	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	90%	70%
Both teams score	90%	60%
Clean sheets	0%	30%
Failed to score	10%	20%

Home and away record

	Phoenix Rising (H)	Lexington (A)
Scored	1.9	2.4
Conceded	1.6	1.7
Points per game	1.90	1.60
Over 2.5 goals	70%	80%
Both teams score	70%	80%
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Failed to score	20%	20%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
15/25	Phoenix Rising	29	-1	39
7/25	Lexington	29	+18	47

Last meetings

2026Lexington 1-0 Phoenix Rising
2025Lexington 2-0 Phoenix Rising
2025Phoenix Rising 0-1 Lexington

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

USL Championship table All model predictions