Major League Soccer · Matchday 34 
Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC: prediction, stats and form
Major League Soccer, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Philadelphia Union 63%, the draw 21% and Toronto FC 16%, with a predicted score of 2-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Philadelphia Union63%Draw21%Toronto FC16%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.08 – 0.94
- Double chance
- 1X · 84%12 79% · X2 37%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 36%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 39% – 12%Philadelphia Union–Toronto FC
- Half-time result
- 1 · 47%X 37% · 2 16%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 41%X/1 19% · X/X 12%
- Expected corners
- 10.87.6 – 3.2 · Over 9.5: 63%
- Expected cards
- 4.42.1 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 65%
- Most likely scores
- 2-011%
- 2-110%
- 1-110%
- 1-010%
- 3-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Philadelphia Union
- Power ratings: Philadelphia Union +0.50 goals per game (3rd of 30 in Major League Soccer), Toronto FC -0.33 (26th).
- Philadelphia Union's attack (1.81 goals per game) meets Toronto FC's defence (1.59 conceded per game).
- Toronto FC's attack (1.26) meets Philadelphia Union's defence (1.31).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.08 – 0.94 goals: Philadelphia Union 63%, draw 21%, Toronto FC 16%.
Match facts
Last matches · Philadelphia Union
- L Sat 31 Oct A FC Cincinnati 0-1
- D Thu 29 Oct A Nashville SC 0-0
- L Sat 24 Oct H New England Revolution 1-2
- D Sat 17 Oct H Charlotte 2-2
- W Thu 15 Oct A Chicago Fire 3-1
- W Sat 10 Oct H Real Salt Lake 2-1
Last matches · Toronto FC
- L Sun 1 Nov A Atlanta United FC 1-3
- W Wed 28 Oct H DC United 2-1
- L Sat 24 Oct A Columbus Crew 2-4
- W Sat 17 Oct A New York Red Bulls 2-0
- D Wed 14 Oct H Orlando City SC 3-3
- W Sat 10 Oct H CF Montreal 2-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Philadelphia Union | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Philadelphia Union (H) | Toronto FC (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/30 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | +11 | 47 |
| 23/30 | Toronto FC | 33 | -12 | 39 |
Last meetings
- 2026Toronto FC 3-3 Philadelphia Union
- 2025Philadelphia Union 1-1 Toronto FC
- 2025Toronto FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.