Serie A · Matchday 11 
Parma vs Bologna: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Parma 25%, the draw 28% and Bologna 47%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Parma25%Draw28%Bologna47%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.84 – 1.30
- Double chance
- X2 · 75%1X 53% · 12 72%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36%Over 1.5: 63% · Over 3.5: 17%
- Both teams score
- 41%
- Clean sheet
- 27% – 43%Parma–Bologna
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 20% · 2 33%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 28%X/X 19% · X/2 18%
- Expected corners
- 8.74.3 – 4.4 · Over 9.5: 37%
- Expected cards
- 3.91.8 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 54%
- Most likely scores
- 0-116%
- 1-112%
- 0-011%
- 1-010%
- 0-210%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Bologna
- Power ratings: Parma -0.61 goals per game (20th of 20 in Serie A), Bologna +0.01 (9th).
- Parma's attack (0.85 goals per game) meets Bologna's defence (1.26 conceded per game).
- Bologna's attack (1.27) meets Parma's defence (1.46).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 13% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 0.84 – 1.30 goals: Parma 25%, draw 28%, Bologna 47%.
Match facts
Last matches · Parma
- D Wed 28 Oct H Udinese 0-0
- L Sat 24 Oct A Lazio 1-2
- L Mon 19 Oct H Torino 0-3
- L Sat 10 Oct A Inter 0-3
- W Sun 20 Sept H Genoa 2-1
- L Mon 14 Sept A Como 1-2
Last matches · Bologna
- W Sat 31 Oct H Monza 2-1
- W Wed 28 Oct A AC Milan 4-2
- W Sat 24 Oct A Cagliari 2-0
- L Sat 17 Oct H Inter 1-3
- W Sun 11 Oct A Lecce 2-1
- D Sat 19 Sept H Torino 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Parma | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Parma (H) | Bologna (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/20 | Parma | 9 | -10 | 5 |
| 9/20 | Bologna | 10 | +1 | 14 |
Last meetings
- 2026Bologna 0-1 Parma
- 2025Bologna 2-1 Parma
- 2025Parma 1-3 Bologna
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.