Serie A · Matchday 36 
Palmeiras vs Flamengo: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Saturday 21 November. The PreviaXI model gives Palmeiras 41%, the draw 29% and Flamengo 30%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
All Matchday 36 matches Full head-to-head
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Low
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.30 – 1.08
- Double chance
- Either team wins71%Home win or draw 70% · Draw or away win 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%Over 1.5: 70% · Over 3.5: 22%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 34% – 27%Palmeiras–Flamengo
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 31% · 2 24%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%X/X 19% · 2/2 17%
- Expected corners
- 10.25.4 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 56%
- Expected cards
- 4.82.1 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 69%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Key trends
- Flamengo have scored in each of their last 18 matches.
- Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last 11 matches.
- Flamengo have won their last 5 matches.
- Palmeiras have won their last 6 home matches.
- Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last 7 home matches.
- 7 of Flamengo’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Chance to score
Palmeiras
- J. López24 goals in 61 games 26%
- Maurício15 goals in 53 games 19%
- R. Sosa10 goals in 45 games 15%
Flamengo
- Pedro29 goals in 52 games 25%
- Lucas Paquetá13 goals in 39 games 15%
- Samuel Lino17 goals in 62 games 13%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | Palmeiras | Flamengo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 21-10-3 | 13-3-1 | 23-7-4 | 10-4-3 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.82 | 2.12 | 2.09 | 2.12 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.68 | 0.65 | 0.85 | 0.94 |
| xG per game | 1.41 | 1.77 | 1.74 | 1.61 |
| xG against per game | 0.97 | 0.84 | 0.91 | 1.14 |
| Scored in | 85% | 94% | 94% | 94% |
| Clean sheets | 47% | 41% | 41% | 35% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 59% | 53% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 71% | 91% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 47% | 65% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 24% | 26% | 29% |
| Shots per game | 15.6 | 17.8 | 16.1 | 13.8 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.3 | 5.6 | 5.9 | 5.5 |
| Shots on target | 34% | 31% | 37% | 40% |
| Possession | 52% | 53% | 57% | 56% |
| Passes per game | 445.3 | 462.5 | 563.4 | 537.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 88% | 87% |
| Corners per game | 5.9 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| Corners against per game | 5.5 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 5.0 |
| Cards per game | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Fouls per game | 13.4 | 12.1 | 11.7 | 11.3 |
League matches this season (Serie A). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Palmeiras
- 0-15 12 / 2
- 16-30 11 / 1
- 31-45 9 / 7
- 46-60 9 / 7
- 61-75 9 / 3
- 76-90+ 9 / 7
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Flamengo
- 0-15 13 / 3
- 16-30 7 / 3
- 31-45 11 / 4
- 46-60 13 / 6
- 61-75 12 / 4
- 76-90+ 15 / 9
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 34 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 34 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense | 34 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 34 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 35 | +4 | 51 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino | 34 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos | 34 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 34 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Vasco DA Gama | 34 | -5 | 44 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 34 | -7 | 42 |
| 13 |  Coritiba | 34 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 35 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 34 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 34 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 34 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 34 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo | 34 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 34 | -37 | 21 |
Table as of
Next matches
Palmeiras
- Wed 25 Nov Chapecoense-sc – PalmeirasSerie A
- Thu 3 Dec Palmeiras – CoritibaSerie A
Flamengo
- Sun 29 Nov Coritiba – FlamengoSerie A
- Thu 3 Dec Flamengo – Chapecoense-scSerie A
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Palmeiras 2 wins · 3 draws · Flamengo 5 wins
- 24/05/2026 Flamengo 0-3 PalmeirasSerie A
- 29/11/2025 Palmeiras 0-1 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
- 19/10/2025 Flamengo 3-2 PalmeirasSerie A
- 25/05/2025 Palmeiras 0-2 FlamengoSerie A
- 11/08/2024 Flamengo 1-1 PalmeirasSerie A
- 07/08/2024 Palmeiras 1-0 FlamengoCopa Do Brasil
- 31/07/2024 Flamengo 2-0 PalmeirasCopa Do Brasil
- 21/04/2024 Palmeiras 0-0 FlamengoSerie A
- 09/11/2023 Flamengo 3-0 PalmeirasSerie A
- 09/07/2023 Palmeiras 1-1 FlamengoSerie A
Match facts
Last matches · Palmeiras
- W Thu 5 Nov H Remo 6-1
- D Wed 28 Oct A Santos 0-0
- W Sat 24 Oct H RB Bragantino 2-0
- W Sat 17 Oct A Atletico Paranaense 2-0
- W Sun 11 Oct H Corinthians 4-1
- W Fri 9 Oct H Bahia 1-0
Last matches · Flamengo
- W Wed 4 Nov H Gremio 3-1
- W Thu 29 Oct A Vasco DA Gama 4-1
- W Mon 26 Oct H Atletico-MG 3-2
- W Sun 18 Oct A Bahia 3-0
- W Sun 11 Oct H Fluminense 1-0
- D Thu 8 Oct A Santos 2-2
Recent record
| · | Palmeiras | Flamengo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Conceded | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | Palmeiras (H) | Flamengo (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Conceded | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.