OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen: prediction, stats and form
Jupiler Pro League, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives OH Leuven 44%, the draw 26% and KV Mechelen 30%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
OH Leuven44%Draw26%KV Mechelen30%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.48 – 1.16
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 70% · X2 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 31% – 23%OH Leuven–KV Mechelen
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 34% · 2 24%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%2/2 17% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 11.05.4 – 5.6 · Over 9.5: 65%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.4 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 66%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-010%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
- 2-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards OH Leuven
- Power ratings: OH Leuven -0.24 goals per game (14th of 18 in Jupiler Pro League), KV Mechelen -0.32 (15th).
- OH Leuven's attack (1.28 goals per game) meets KV Mechelen's defence (1.55 conceded per game).
- KV Mechelen's attack (1.23) meets OH Leuven's defence (1.52).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 21% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.48 – 1.16 goals: OH Leuven 44%, draw 26%, KV Mechelen 30%.
Match facts
Last matches · OH Leuven
- W Sun 1 Nov A St. Truiden 2-1
- D Sat 24 Oct H Lommel United 2-2
- D Sun 11 Oct A Union St. Gilloise 1-1
- W Sat 19 Sept H RAAL La Louvière 2-0
- D Sat 12 Sept H Cercle Brugge 1-1
- L Sun 6 Sept A SK Beveren 0-3
Last matches · KV Mechelen
- W Sat 31 Oct H Genk 1-0
- W Sun 11 Oct H St. Truiden 4-3
- D Sat 19 Sept A Lommel United 0-0
- L Fri 11 Sept H Anderlecht 0-1
- L Sat 5 Sept H KVC Westerlo 0-4
- D Sat 29 Aug A RAAL La Louvière 2-2
Last 10 matches
| · | OH Leuven | KV Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 60% |
Home and away record
| · | OH Leuven (H) | KV Mechelen (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/18 | OH Leuven | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 13/18 | KV Mechelen | 9 | -7 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026OH Leuven 2-2 KV Mechelen
- 2025KV Mechelen 1-1 OH Leuven
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

