Premier League · Matchday 10 
Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: prediction, stats and form
Premier League, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Nottingham Forest 26%, the draw 27% and Manchester City 47%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Nottingham Forest26%Draw27%Manchester City47%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.19 – 1.65
- Double chance
- X2 · 74%1X 53% · 12 73%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 32%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 19% – 30%Nottingham Forest–Manchester City
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 23% · 2 36%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 29%X/X 16% · 1/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 10.04.5 – 5.5 · Over 9.5: 53%
- Expected cards
- 3.51.7 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 46%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-29%
- 0-18%
- 0-28%
- 0-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Manchester City
- Power ratings: Nottingham Forest -0.01 goals per game (10th of 20 in Premier League), Manchester City +0.78 (2nd).
- Nottingham Forest's attack (1.32 goals per game) meets Manchester City's defence (1.15 conceded per game).
- Manchester City's attack (1.93) meets Nottingham Forest's defence (1.33).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.19 – 1.65 goals: Nottingham Forest 26%, draw 27%, Manchester City 47%.
Match facts
Last matches · Nottingham Forest
- L Sat 31 Oct A Brentford 0-2
- D Fri 23 Oct A Ipswich 1-1
- L Sun 18 Oct H Arsenal 0-1
- L Sun 11 Oct A Crystal Palace 1-3
- L Sat 19 Sept H Coventry 0-1
- W Sat 12 Sept A Aston Villa 2-1
Last matches · Manchester City
- L Sat 31 Oct H Brighton 0-1
- D Wed 28 Oct H Brighton 2-2
- L Sat 24 Oct A Aston Villa 1-2
- W Tue 20 Oct H AEK Athens FC 5-1
- W Sat 17 Oct H Ipswich 3-2
- L Wed 14 Oct H Paris Saint Germain 2-4
Last 10 matches
| · | Nottingham Forest | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.6 | 2.7 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 60% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Nottingham Forest (H) | Manchester City (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 10% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 0% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/20 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 2/20 | Manchester City | 9 | +10 | 21 |
Last meetings
- 2026Manchester City 2-2 Nottingham Forest
- 2025Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.